Houston Astros vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 9/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026

Location: Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-128) Sacramento (+106)

Sutter Health Park is the location where the Sacramento Athletics (63-96) will attempt to defeat the Houston Astros (79-80) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Astros at -128 while the Athletics are priced at +106. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Ronel Blanco and Brady Basso.

The Astros have hit 232 doubles as a unit and have knocked 218 balls out of the stadium. Houston is slugging .414 and have struck out 1,313 times, while being walked on 512 occasions. As a team, the Houston Astros are notching 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in baseball. They have 676 runs batted in and 1,287 hits for the year, and their average at the plate is at .241. They have 707 runs and hold an OBP of .313.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.17 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.35. Astros pitchers have yielded 204 home runs and also 758 total runs (24th in the league). Houston has allowed 1,257 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 706 earned runs. The Astros hold a team ERA of 4.50 on the campaign (24th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,389 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 641 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.56 as a squad this year.

The Astros have dispatched 519 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 227 base runners for the year and 25.6% of those players crossing the plate. The relief pitchers are sitting with 87 holds for the year (13th in baseball). Astros bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 151 times and also have had 165 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 49 saves for the season and have missed out on 13 of 62 chances to save the game. The Astros relievers have accumulated a save rate of 79.0% and stepped onto the hill in 151 save situations.

The Houston Astros have 4,233 putouts for the season, as well as 1,173 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which has them sitting 8th in pro baseball, and have a total of 126 double plays. The Astros have converted 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,699 innings on the field, which has them sitting 9th in baseball.

Blanco (18-12 career record) holds a FIP of 3.78 while he has faced 1,269 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 238 hits (7.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 135 walks. His earned run average is 3.83 (130 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.222. Blanco has pitched in 305 frames and has 299 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Sacramento Athletics have recorded an OBP of .318 and a batting average of .246 so far this season. They have struck out on 1,351 instances (12th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,326 hits. Sacramento has hit 194 long balls over the course of the season to go along with 662 runs batted in. The Athletics have a team slugging % of .405 and they earn 4.35 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have notched 244 doubles, while taking a walk 511 times and putting up 691 runs.

The Athletics are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.503 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.90 as a squad on the season. They are currently ranked 29th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,490. The Sacramento pitching staff have yielded 910 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 5.44 (848 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.50 (1,326 strikeouts vs 619 free passes). They have given up 239 home runs and they concede 5.84 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league).

Sacramento bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.7% out of their 267 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 148 times in high leverage situations and on 176 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 152 save situations, the Athletics have earned 83 holds and 28 blown saves. They are currently ranked 22nd in baseball with a save rate of 57.6%, and they have sent 544 relief pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

In 12,627 innings on the field, the Athletics hold a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (29th in MLB). The Sacramento Athletics have turned 120 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in pro baseball). The Athletics have accrued 1,206 assists, 75 errors and have accounted for 4,209 putouts for the season.

During his MLB career, Basso has conceded 93 hits while tallying 57 strikeouts in 76 innings. He has allowed 38 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.526 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.48 and he has gone up against 341 opposing batters in his career. Basso (3-5 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.50 ERA while giving up 11.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (-128)

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