Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 5/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

Date: Thursday, May 28, 2026

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+125) Texas (-150)

The Houston Astros (24-32) are headed to Globe Life Field on Thursday where they will attempt to beat the Texas Rangers (25-29). The moneyline on this contest has Houston at +125 and Texas is priced at -150. The over/under is set at 9. The men taking the mound are Spencer Arrighetti and Nathan Eovaldi.

As a team, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which has them at 13th in MLB. They have notched a total of 249 runs and have an on-base percentage of .322. The Astros have compiled 88 doubles as a team and have hit 72 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 239 runs batted in and 464 hits this season, while their team batting average comes in at .246. Houston is slugging .411 and have been called out on strikes 448 times, while drawing a walk on 187 occasions.

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The Astros have a team earned run average of 5.16 on the campaign (29th in the league), and the staff has struck out 459 hitters. Astros pitchers have allowed 71 home runs and also 291 runs in total (27th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 271 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.96 as a unit on the campaign. Houston has conceded 456 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 281 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 1.69 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.48.

The Astros have sent 167 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 91 base runners this season and 26.4% of them ended up scoring. The relievers have a total of 23 holds this year (24th in the league). Astros pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 55 times and also have had 41 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 14 saves for the year and have not converted 2 of their 16 chances to save the game. The Astros relievers have recorded a save rate of 87.5% and have come into the game in 39 save situations.

The Houston Astros have accounted for 1,471 putouts thus far, in addition to 436 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .990 which is 5th in pro baseball, and have a total of 53 double plays. The Astros have turned 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 4,413 innings, which has them sitting at 17th in the majors.

Arrighetti has taken the mound for 221 frames and has 242 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.07 (100 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.370. He has surrendered 193 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 110 walks. Arrighetti (14-19 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.01 and he has faced 963 batters during his time in the major leagues.

Texas has hit 52 home runs over the course of the season as well as 202 RBIs. They have put up 80 doubles, while walking 194 times and putting up 211 runs. The Texas Rangers hold a team OBP of .314 in addition to a team batting average of .232 so far this year. The Rangers hold a slugging % of .374 and they have an average of 3.91 runs per contest (25th in the league). They have struck out on 462 instances (13th in MLB) and have earned 413 base hits.

The Rangers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.213 and have a FIP of 4.11 as a pitching staff on the year. They have a ranking of 5th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 400. The Texas pitching staff have relinquished 211 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.75 (196 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.60 (448 strikeouts against 170 walks). They have conceded 61 dingers and they yield 4.04 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB).

They sit at 7th in the league holding a save rate of 70.6%, and they have sent 167 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 46 times in high leverage situations in addition to 46 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 44 save situations, the Rangers have 26 holds and 5 blown saves. Texas has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 17 save opportunities and they have come away with 12 saves. Texas relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.9% out of their 72 inherited base runners.

The Texas Rangers have turned 31 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in professional baseball). The Rangers have accrued 413 assists, 24 errors and have earned 1,411 putouts so far this season. Out of their 4,233 innings on the diamond, the Rangers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.2% (3rd in professional baseball).

In his career, Eovaldi has given up 1,717 base hits while he has totaled 1,548 strikeouts in 1,763 frames. He has surrendered 761 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.246 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.23 and he has gone up against 7,380 opposing batters so far in his career. Eovaldi (107-89 career mark) has a 3.88 ERA while conceding 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Texas (-150)

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