Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 7/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

Date: Friday, July 10, 2026

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+102) Texas (-122)

The Texas Rangers (46-46) are welcoming the Houston Astros (46-49) at Globe Life Field on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has Houston at +102 while Texas is coming in at -122. The over/under is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Hunter Brown and Cal Quantrill.

The Astros have hit 147 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 126 balls out of the stadium. Houston has a slugging rate of .410 and have been rung up 778 times, while being walked on 312 occasions. As a squad, the Houston Astros are recording 4.6 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 14th in baseball. They have compiled 412 runs batted in and 770 base knocks so far this year, while their batting average is .241. They have earned 432 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .315.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 1.97 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.40. Astros pitchers have surrendered 131 long balls and also 480 total runs (27th in MLB). Houston has surrendered 763 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 446 earned runs. The Astros have a team earned run average of 4.78 on the season (27th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 817 batters. They have walked 414 batters and their FIP is 4.87 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Astros relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 84.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 76 save situations. They have recorded 28 saves this year and have missed out on 5 out of their 33 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 137 base runners this season with 29.2% of them crossing the plate. Astros pitchers have entered the game with runners on 89 times in addition to having 88 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 298 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen have tallied 43 holds so far this season (21st in baseball).

The Astros have turned 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,563 innings, which has them sitting 10th in baseball. The Houston Astros have 2,521 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 703 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them sitting 9th in the majors, and have a total of 78 double plays.

Brown has pitched in 560 frames and has earned 620 strikeouts during his career. Brown (37-31 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.43 while going up against 2,314 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.49 (217 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.214. He has given up 484 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 196 free passes.

The Texas Rangers are sitting with an on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a batting average of .243 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 768 occasions (18th in MLB) and are sitting with 746 base hits. Texas has accounted for 100 home runs on the campaign as well as 361 runs batted in. The Rangers have a slugging percentage of .392 and they have an average of 4.09 runs per game (26th in the league). They have put up 130 doubles, while taking a walk 303 times as well as scoring 376 runs.

The Rangers have a WHIP of 1.245 in addition to having a FIP of 4.07 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They sit at 14th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 743. The Texas pitching staff have conceded 391 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.07 (365 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (783 strikeouts against 262 free passes). They have allowed 111 long balls and they surrender 4.36 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

Texas bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.4% out of their 118 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 87 times in high leverage situations and also on 79 occasions with runners on base. With 82 save situations, the Rangers have 44 holds and 8 blown saves. They rank 2nd in baseball with a save percentage of 77.8%, and they have sent 286 relievers to the mound this year.

Out of their 7,266 innings on the diamond, the Rangers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in professional baseball). The Texas Rangers have gotten 57 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in pro baseball). The Rangers have racked up 702 assists, 42 errors and have earned 2,422 putouts for the season.

Quantrill (50-47 career mark) has a 4.30 earned run average and has given up 9.1 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.31 and he has gone up against 3,747 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has surrendered 419 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.327 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. In his pro baseball career, Quantrill has conceded 882 base hits while he has earned 649 strikeouts in 876 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Texas (-122)

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