Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 7/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+106) Texas (-128)

The Texas Rangers (48-46) are welcoming the Houston Astros (46-50) at Globe Life Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Houston at +106 and Texas is at -128. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Cristian Javier and Tyler Alexander.

Houston has a slugging percentage of .410 and have been rung up 780 times, while taking a walk on 313 occasions. They have tallied 415 runs batted in and 778 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .241. The Astros have accounted for 147 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 128 balls out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 435 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .315. As a unit, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 14th in MLB.

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The Astros have compiled a team earned run average of 4.81 on the season (27th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 824 hitters. Astros pitchers have yielded 134 home runs and 487 total runs (27th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 420 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.90 as a squad on the season. Houston has given up 771 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 453 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 1.96 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.40.

Astros pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 89 times in addition to having 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 43 holds this season (22nd in the league). The Astros bullpen have earned a save rate of 84.8% and have entered the game in 76 save situations. They have compiled 28 saves on the season and have blown 5 out of their 33 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 137 base runners for the season with 29.2% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Astros have sent 300 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Astros have converted 70.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,635 innings, ranking them 10th in the majors. The Houston Astros have 2,545 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 713 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which is 7th in baseball, and they have turned 79 double plays.

Javier has taken the mound for 550 innings and has racked up 606 K's so far in his MLB career. Javier (35-23 career mark) has a FIP of 3.75 while going up against 2,280 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.81 (233 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.171. He has conceded 413 base knocks (6.8 hits per nine innings) and has 231 free passes.

The Texas Rangers have tallied an on-base percentage of .320 as well as a team batting average of .244 this year. They have been rung up on 785 occasions (16th in the league) and have recorded 765 base hits. Texas has hit 106 HRs this season as well as 375 runs batted in. The Rangers hold a slugging % of .397 and they are recording 4.15 runs per game (24th in the league). They have recorded 134 doubles, while taking a walk 310 times as well as scoring 390 runs.

The Texas pitching staff have surrendered 400 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.07 (373 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 113 long balls and they surrender 4.36 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The Rangers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.246 in addition to having a FIP of 4.05 as a unit on the campaign. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (800 strikeouts vs 267 walks). They rank 14th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 761.

Texas relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.3% of 124 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 91 times in high leverage situations in addition to 82 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 85 save situations, the Rangers have earned 45 holds and also 10 blown saves. They sit at 5th in MLB with a save rate of 73.7%, and they have dispatched 293 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

The Texas Rangers have gotten 59 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in pro baseball). The Rangers have racked up 719 assists, 43 errors and have a tally of 2,476 putouts on the campaign. In their 7,428 innings on the field, the Rangers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in MLB).

Alexander (23-43 career win-loss record) has a 4.47 earned run average while giving up 9.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.46 and he has faced 2,490 opposing batters so far in his career. He has conceded a total of 291 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.300 and having a FIP of 4.4. So far in his pro baseball career, Alexander has given up 622 hits while earning 481 K's in 585 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Texas (-128)

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