Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 6/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Tuesday, June 23, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+132) Toronto (-160)

The Houston Astros (37-42) are on their way to Rogers Centre on Tuesday where they will attempt to defeat the Toronto Blue Jays (38-39). The line on this matchup has the Astros at +132 while the Blue Jays are at -160. The betting total comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Peter Lambert and Shane Bieber.

As a team, the Houston Astros are knocking in 4.5 runs per outing, which ranks them 15th in the league. They have accumulated 356 runs and have an on-base percentage of .317. The Astros have earned 130 two-baggers as a team and have hit 103 balls out of the stadium. They have 341 RBI's and 645 hits this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .243. Houston has a slugging percentage of .413 and have been called out on strikes 647 times, while drawing a walk on 261 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 1.97 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.40. Astros pitchers have surrendered 101 long balls and 397 runs (25th in MLB). Houston has allowed 631 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 375 earned runs. The Astros are sitting with a team ERA of 4.84 for the season (28th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 681 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 346 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.74 as a squad on the year.

The Astros relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 84.6% and have entered the game in 59 save situations. They have accumulated 22 saves over the course of the season and have blown 4 out of their 26 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 115 base runners so far this year with 28.7% of them ended up crossing the plate. Astros pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 74 times in addition to having 66 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 241 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The bullpen have recorded 33 holds so far this year (24th in baseball).

The Astros have converted 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,276 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 10th in professional baseball. The Houston Astros have earned 2,092 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 590 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which ranks 4th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 69 double plays.

Lambert has taken the mound for 307 frames and has racked up 239 K's thus far in his career. Lambert (14-23 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 5.57 and he has faced 1,367 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 5.65 (193 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.507. He has surrendered 343 base knocks (10.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 120 walks.

Toronto has compiled 77 home runs for the year as well as 303 runs batted in. They have put up 130 doubles, while getting a free base 214 times and racking up 316 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have recorded a team on-base percentage of .311 in addition to a batting average of .249 for the year. The Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of .391 and they earn 4.10 runs per game (24th in baseball). They have struck out on 562 occasions (29th in the league) and are sitting with 643 hits.

The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 341 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.14 (313 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 83 long balls and they allow 4.51 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball). The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.307 with a FIP of 3.97 as a squad on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 8.90 (677 strikeouts against 266 free passes). They are sitting at 15th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 624.

Toronto bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 25.6% out of 129 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 96 times in high leverage situations and on 89 occasions with runners on. With 93 save situations, the Blue Jays have amassed 55 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. They rank 11th in the league holding a save percentage of 68.6%, and they have dispatched 296 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 54 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 655 assists, 48 errors and have accumulated 2,045 putouts over the course of the season. In their 6,135 innings played, the Blue Jays hold a efficiency on defense of 69.2% (23rd in the majors).

Thus far in his career, Bieber has given up 786 hits while he has tallied 995 strikeouts in 883 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 318 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.111 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.10 and he has faced 3,574 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Bieber (66-34 career mark) holds a 3.24 earned run average and has surrendered 8.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-160)

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