Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 7/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Thursday, July 23, 2026

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Detroit SportsNet

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+150) Detroit (-182)

Comerica Park is the location where the Detroit Tigers (47-54) will play the Kansas City Royals (42-60) on Thursday. The odds on this game have Kansas City at +150 while Detroit is priced at -182. The total is 9. The men taking the mound are Randy Dobnak and Troy Melton.

Kansas City has a slugging % of .399 and have been called out on strikes 813 times, while drawing a walk on 321 occasions. They have tallied 410 RBI's as well as 843 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .248. The Royals have tallied 187 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 102 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 430 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .316. As a unit, the Kansas City Royals are knocking in 4.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 21st in the league.

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The Royals are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.97 for the year (28th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 764 batters. Royals pitchers have given up 138 home runs and 528 runs (27th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 386 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.83 as a team over the course of the season. Kansas City has surrendered 905 hits (9.2 per 9 innings) and 491 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 1.98 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.45.

Royals pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 71 times and also have had 98 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 40 holds over the course of the season (26th in the league). The Royals bullpen have a save percentage of 56.1% and have come into the game in 82 save situations. They have recorded 23 saves on the season and have blown 18 out of their 41 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 102 runners for the season with 36.3% of them crossing home plate. The Royals have dispatched 330 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

The Kansas City Royals have amassed 2,669 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 906 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which is 13th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 89 double plays. The Royals have converted 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,007 innings, which has them ranked 25th in pro baseball.

Dobnak has taken the mound for 154 frames and has racked up 92 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.61 (79 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.388. He has conceded 169 base hits (9.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 45 free passes. Dobnak (9-12 career mark) has a FIP of 4.54 while facing 672 hitters in the majors.

The Detroit Tigers have an on-base percentage of .313 and a batting average of .235 for the season. They have struck out on 875 occasions (9th in the league) and have recorded 783 hits. Detroit is sitting with 122 home runs so far this season to go along with 406 RBIs. The Tigers hold a slugging percentage of .400 and they tally 4.26 runs per game (20th in baseball). They have recorded 146 two-baggers, while walking 354 times and notching 426 runs.

The Detroit pitching staff have surrendered 393 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.59 (352 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 98 home runs and they allow 4.01 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Tigers have a team WHIP of 1.216 and have a FIP of 3.80 as a team so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.60 (839 strikeouts against 298 free passes). They have a ranking of 7th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 775.

With 85 save situations, the Tigers have tallied 43 holds and 21 blown saves. Detroit has had relief pitchers enter the game in 40 save chances and they have walked away with 19 saves. Detroit relievers have an inherited score percentage of 26.9% out of 167 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 79 times in high leverage situations and on 109 occasions with base runners. They are currently ranked 29th in MLB with a save percentage of 47.5%, and they have sent 307 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

In 7,944 innings on the diamond, the Tigers have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (8th in baseball). The Detroit Tigers have gotten 69 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in baseball). The Tigers have accrued 868 assists, 45 errors and have earned a total of 2,648 putouts so far this year.

Thus far in his career, Melton has conceded 64 hits while he has accumulated 86 K's in 100 innings. He has conceded 25 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 0.938 and a FIP of 2.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.87 and he has faced 392 hitters so far in his career. Melton (8-3 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 2.25 ERA while giving up 5.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Detroit (-182) and under 9 runs

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