Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 5/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Friday, May 1, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+102) Seattle (-122)

The Seattle Mariners (16-16) will try to defeat the Kansas City Royals (12-18) at T-Mobile Park on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Royals at +102 and the Mariners are sitting at -122. The total is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Cole Ragans and Bryan Woo.

Kansas City has a slugging % of .385 and have been called out on strikes 252 times, while drawing a walk on 111 occasions. They have compiled 116 runs batted in in addition to 236 base knocks so far this year, and their batting average sits at .239. The Royals have hit 47 doubles as a team and have hit 29 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 123 runs scored and hold an OBP of .320. As a squad, the Kansas City Royals are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 23rd in the league.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.93 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.42. Royals pitchers have surrendered 36 home runs and 142 total runs (21st in baseball). Kansas City has conceded 242 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 133 earned runs. The Royals are sitting with a team ERA of 4.51 on the season (24th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 259 batters. They have walked 134 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.51 as a squad for the season.

Royals pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 21 times in addition to having 33 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have recorded 14 holds over the course of the season (24th in MLB). The Royals relievers have earned a save percentage of 60.0% and have come into the game in 29 save situations. They have 9 saves this year and have blown 6 of 15 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 28 runners on the campaign with 28.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Royals have sent 93 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Royals have turned 70.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,388 innings, ranking them 14th in baseball. The Kansas City Royals have notched a total of 796 putouts on the campaign, as well as 247 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .991 which is 3rd in baseball, and have accumulated 26 double plays.

Ragans has taken the hill for 411 innings and has accumulated 494 punch outs so far in his career. Ragans (22-24 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.69 while he has faced 1,700 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.74 (171 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.207. He has surrendered 334 hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has 162 walks.

The Mariners hold a team SLG% of .381 and they average 4.19 runs per outing (20th in baseball). They have hit 46 two-baggers, while getting a free base 125 times as well as earning 134 runs. Seattle has hit 34 home runs on the year to go along with 131 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 288 instances (5th in MLB) and have earned 248 base hits. The Seattle Mariners have compiled an on-base percentage of .324 as well as a batting average of .234 over the course of the season.

The Seattle pitching staff have yielded 127 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.67 (116 earned runs given up). They have given up 30 long balls and they surrender 4.02 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The Mariners hold a team WHIP of 1.264 in addition to having a FIP of 3.74 as a team so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.20 (258 strikeouts against 80 walks). They rank 28th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 279.

Seattle bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 12.2% out of their 41 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 40 times in high leverage situations and on 30 occasions with base runners. With 28 save situations, the Mariners have 15 holds and also 4 blown saves. They sit at 9th in baseball holding a save percentage of 69.2%, and they have dispatched 102 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

In 2,559 innings on the field, the Mariners hold a efficiency on defense of 68.1% (27th in MLB). The Seattle Mariners have gotten 38 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .990 (6th in the majors). The Mariners have recorded 278 assists, 12 errors and have accumulated 853 putouts over the course of the season.

During his pro baseball career, Woo has given up 339 base knocks while he has totaled 419 strikeouts in 430 innings pitched. He has given up 156 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.988 and a FIP of 3.2. His K/BB ratio is 4.87 and he has faced 1,715 hitters during his pro baseball career. Woo (29-17 career mark) has a 3.26 earned run average and has given up 7.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kansas City (+102)

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