Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 8/25/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+132) Toronto (-160)

Rogers Centre is the location where the Toronto Blue Jays (64-68) will take on the Kansas City Royals (58-74) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has the Royals at +132 while the Blue Jays are sitting at -160. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Seth Lugo and Max Scherzer.

As a team, the Kansas City Royals are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 22nd in MLB. They have notched a total of 560 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .314. The Royals have recorded 235 doubles as a squad and have knocked 136 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 534 RBI's as well as 1,086 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate sits at .246. Kansas City has a slugging rate of .400 and have been called out on strikes 1,034 times, while drawing a walk on 410 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.97 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.41. Royals pitchers have given up 163 home runs and 651 runs (26th in MLB). Kansas City has relinquished 1,140 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 609 earned runs. The Royals have a team earned run average of 4.72 on the season (28th in the league), and they have rung up 964 hitters. They have walked 490 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.65 as a unit this year.

Royals relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 92 times and also have had 129 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have 65 holds for the year (20th in baseball). The Royals bullpen have a save rate of 58.9% and have come into the game in 124 save situations. They have recorded 33 saves so far this year and have missed out on 23 of their 56 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 137 runners on the year with 41.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Royals have sent 426 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Royals have turned 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 10,443 innings, which ranks them 15th in baseball. The Kansas City Royals have earned 3,481 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,197 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which puts them in 7th in baseball, and have accumulated 114 double plays.

Lugo has taken the mound for 1,138 innings and has earned 1,065 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 3.65 (461 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.200. He has surrendered 1,044 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has 322 walks. Lugo (69-54 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.59 while he has faced 4,717 opposing batters in the majors.

Toronto has 124 home runs for the season to go along with 498 runs batted in. They have put up 211 doubles, while taking a walk 362 times as well as scoring 521 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated an OBP of .306 as well as a batting average of .245 on the season. The Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of .380 and they average 3.95 runs per contest (29th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 961 occasions (28th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,092 hits.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.307 with a FIP of 3.95 as a team on the year. They have a ranking of 14th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,051. The Toronto pitching staff have conceded 576 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.99 (520 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (1,150 strikeouts vs 483 bases on balls). They have given up 136 home runs and they relinquish 4.42 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

Toronto relievers have an inherited score rate of 27.1% out of 203 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 168 times in high leverage situations in addition to 143 occasions with runners on. With 148 save situations, the Blue Jays have accumulated 85 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. They sit at 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 74.6%, and they have sent 489 relievers onto the diamond on the season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 89 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (22nd in the majors). The Blue Jays have racked up 1,123 assists, 79 errors and have notched a total of 3,523 putouts this season. In 10,569 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays hold a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (17th in baseball).

Scherzer (222-123 record in his career) has earned a 3.28 earned run average and has surrendered 7.4 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.41 and he has faced 12,189 opposing hitters thus far in his career. He has given up a total of 1,096 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.090 and a FIP of 3.2. During his career, Scherzer has given up 2,481 hits and he has 3,521 strikeouts in 3,008 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (+132)

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