Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
TV: NESN
Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (+106) Boston (-128)
The Boston Red Sox (78-65) welcome the Los Angeles Angels (54-88) at Fenway Park on Monday. The line on this contest has the Angels at +106 while the Red Sox are sitting at -128. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Grayson Rodriguez and Brayan Bello.
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Los Angeles is slugging .370 and have struck out 1,347 times, while drawing a walk on 435 occasions. They have accumulated 553 RBI's as well as 1,110 hits this season, while their batting average is at .234. The Angels have tallied 213 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 136 balls out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 577 runs while holding a team OBP of .308. As a unit, the Los Angeles Angels are notching 4.1 runs per game, which is 27th in the league.
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Their K/BB ratio is 2.21 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.35. Angels pitchers have given up 147 home runs and also 653 runs (19th in the league). Los Angeles has allowed 1,112 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 590 earned runs. The Angels have compiled a team ERA of 4.23 for the year (19th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,273 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 576 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.14 as a team this year.
Angels bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 143 times in addition to having 152 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 77 holds so far this season (15th in the league). The Angels relievers have recorded a save rate of 45.7% and have entered the game in 126 save situations. They have earned 21 saves so far this year and have blown 25 of 46 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 220 runners for the season with 38.6% of those runners ended up scoring. The Angels have sent 456 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.
The Los Angeles Angels have earned 3,765 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,186 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them ranked 19th in professional baseball, and have a total of 98 double plays. The Angels have turned 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,295 innings, ranking them 14th in the majors.
Rodriguez (24-14 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.53 while going up against 1,354 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 315 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 111 walks. His earned run average is 4.59 (161 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.351. Rodriguez has pitched in 315 innings and is sitting with 331 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.
The Red Sox hold a team SLG% of .406 and they score 4.47 runs per contest (16th in MLB). They have hit 260 doubles, while walking 459 times and scoring 639 runs. Boston has tallied 148 HRs on the season as well as 610 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,157 occasions (20th in MLB) and have recorded 1,198 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have accumulated an OBP of .323 as well as a batting average of .249 so far this season.
The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.238 in addition to having a FIP of 3.73 as a unit on the campaign. They sit at 16th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,160. The Boston pitching staff have conceded 555 runs this year while holding an ERA of 3.62 (512 earned runs allowed). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,219 strikeouts against 415 free passes). They have allowed 141 long balls and they allow 3.93 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB).
They rank 4th in MLB holding a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 437 relievers to the hill for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 130 times in high leverage situations and on 113 occasions with runners on base. With 138 save situations, the Red Sox have accrued 84 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 52 save chances and they have come away with 39 saves. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.0% out of 150 inherited runners.
The Boston Red Sox have gotten 106 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 1,245 assists, 76 errors and have amassed 3,817 putouts during this campaign. In their 11,451 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (20th in MLB).
Bello (44-43 mark in his career) has earned a 4.24 ERA and has given up 9.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.34 and he has faced 2,770 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 302 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.377 and a FIP of 4.2. Thus far in his career, Bello has surrendered 654 hits while he has accumulated 534 punch outs in 640 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-128) and under 9 runs
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Additional Resources:
Boston Red Sox - Twitter
Los Angeles Angels - Twitter
