Los Angeles Angels vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 5/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Angels vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Monday, May 11, 2026

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (+106) Cleveland (-128)

Progressive Field is the location where the Cleveland Guardians (21-20) will play the Los Angeles Angels (15-25) on Monday. The line on this matchup has Los Angeles at +106 while Cleveland is at -128. The total is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Caden Dana and Joey Cantillo.

As a unit, the Los Angeles Angels are scoring 4.3 runs per outing, which puts them at 17th in the league. They are sitting with 171 runs scored while having a team OBP of .322. The Angels have recorded 54 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 47 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 164 runs batted in as well as 310 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .233. Los Angeles has a slugging % of .384 and have struck out 391 times, while drawing a walk on 152 occasions.

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The Angels have compiled a team earned run average of 4.65 so far this year (25th in the league), and their staff has rung up 347 hitters. Angels pitchers have yielded 39 home runs and also 200 total runs (24th in the league). They have walked 183 hitters and their FIP is 4.34 as a unit so far this year. Los Angeles has conceded 328 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 182 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.90 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.45.

The Angels have dispatched 125 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 87 runners so far this year and 40.2% of those players crossing the plate. The bullpen have tallied 21 holds on the year (18th in the league). Angels relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 57 times in addition to having 44 appearances in high leverage situations. They have tallied 5 saves so far this season and have not converted 10 out of their 15 chances to get a save. The Angels relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 33.3% and stepped onto the hill in 38 save situations.

The Los Angeles Angels have notched a total of 1,057 putouts thus far, as well as 350 assists and 23 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which has them sitting 24th in pro baseball, and they have turned 24 double plays. The Angels have turned 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 3,171 innings, which has them ranked 24th in baseball.

Dana has taken the hill for 42 innings and has earned 41 K's in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 7.25 (34 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.635. He has conceded 44 base knocks (9.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 25 free passes. Dana (1-6 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 7.14 while he has faced 193 hitters during his time in the majors.

Cleveland has compiled 40 home runs this year as well as 161 runs batted in. They have 68 doubles, while taking a walk 168 times and putting up 169 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have accounted for a team OBP of .319 in addition to a batting average of .228 on the year. The Guardians have a team slugging % of .369 and they are scoring 4.12 runs per contest (24th in the league). They have struck out on 310 occasions (22nd in the league) and have notched a total of 306 base hits.

The Guardians have a WHIP of 1.268 in addition to having a FIP of 4.15 as a squad on the campaign. They rank 18th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 318. The Cleveland pitching staff have given up 172 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.91 (157 earned runs yielded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.40 (377 strikeouts against 140 free passes). They have relinquished 51 homers and they give up 4.29 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

Cleveland relievers have an inherited score rate of 27.5% of 69 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 50 times in high leverage situations and on 42 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 50 save situations, the Guardians have 32 holds and 4 blown saves. They are ranked 4th in MLB with a save rate of 76.5%, and they have dispatched 134 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

In their 3,252 innings played, the Guardians have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (13th in professional baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 28 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in the majors). The Guardians have 311 assists, 18 errors and have notched a total of 1,084 putouts for the year.

In his career, Cantillo has surrendered 148 base hits while he has tallied 189 punch outs in 173 frames. Cantillo (9-8 career win-loss record) has a 3.64 ERA and has surrendered 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 70 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.294 and having a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.49 and he has gone up against 728 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Los Angeles (+106)

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