Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 10/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-108) Milwaukee (-112)

American Family Field is where the Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) will play the Los Angeles Dodgers (100-62) on Sunday in Game 1 of the NLCS. The moneyline on this game has the Dodgers at -108 and the Brewers are coming in at -112. The over/under comes in at 6. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tarik Skubal and Jacob Misiorowski.

As a team, the Los Angeles Dodgers are recording 4.9 runs per contest, which ranks them 4th in MLB. They have tallied 801 runs and have an OBP of .338. The Dodgers have tallied 266 doubles as a team and have hit 204 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 756 RBI's and 1,399 base knocks on the campaign, and their batting average is .257. Los Angeles has a slugging percentage of .424 and have been called out on strikes 1,267 times, while taking a walk on 628 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.17 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.14. Dodgers pitchers have surrendered 172 long balls and also 600 total runs (1st in the league). Los Angeles has allowed 1,159 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and 566 earned runs. The Dodgers have compiled a team ERA of 3.55 for the season (4th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,521 batters. They have walked 480 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.68 as a team for the season.

The Dodgers bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 66.7% and have entered the game in 172 save situations. They have tallied 46 saves on the season and have blown 23 out of their 69 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 179 runners so far this season with 35.8% of them crossing home plate. Dodgers relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 112 times in addition to having 174 appearances in high leverage situations. The Dodgers have sent 538 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers are sitting with 102 holds on the campaign (7th in the league).

The Los Angeles Dodgers have 4,307 putouts on the year, as well as 1,286 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which has them sitting 4th in baseball, and have 89 double plays. The Dodgers have turned 72.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,921 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 2nd in pro baseball.

Skubal has taken the mound for 828 frames and has accumulated 959 strikeouts so far in his career. Skubal (59-39 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.00 while he has gone up against 3,302 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.04 (280 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.028. He has given up 666 base knocks (7.2 hits per nine innings) and has 185 free passes.

The Milwaukee Brewers have earned a team OBP of .341 and a batting average of .258 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 1,383 occasions (11th in MLB) and have 1,422 base hits. Milwaukee has hit 154 home runs this year as well as 788 runs batted in. The Brewers hold a slugging % of .403 and they are recording 5.14 runs per game (2nd in baseball). They have notched 279 doubles, while walking 668 times as well as recording 832 runs.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 618 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.52 (565 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 171 long balls and they relinquish 3.85 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB). The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.178 in addition to having a FIP of 3.72 as a staff for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.60 (1,544 strikeouts vs 518 free passes). They rank 2nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,186.

They rank 5th in the league holding a save percentage of 72.4%, and they have dispatched 509 relievers onto the field on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 158 times in high leverage situations and on 129 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 164 save situations, the Brewers have recorded 86 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on relievers to enter the game in 76 save opportunities and they have recorded 55 saves. Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.4% out of their 187 inherited runners.

In their 13,020 innings on the diamond, the Brewers have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.2% (6th in pro baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 118 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in MLB). The Brewers have 1,269 assists, 72 errors and have earned a total of 4,340 putouts for the year.

Misiorowski (21-8 career win-loss mark) has earned a 2.51 earned run average while giving up 5.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.52 and he has faced 938 batters so far in his career. He has given up a total of 67 ER's while holding a WHIP of 0.924 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.5. So far in his pro baseball career, Misiorowski has conceded 147 base hits and he has 339 K's in 240 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-112)

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