Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/22/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-145) Philadelphia (+125)

The Philadelphia Phillies (56-45) are hosting the Los Angeles Dodgers (63-38) at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Dodgers at -145 and the Phillies are priced at +125. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Eric Lauer and Aaron Nola.

Los Angeles has a slugging percentage of .431 and have struck out 798 times, while drawing a walk on 404 occasions. They have 493 runs batted in and 885 base knocks on the season, and their batting average sits at .260. The Dodgers have accumulated 168 two-baggers as a team and have hit 131 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 524 runs while having a team OBP of .342. As a unit, the Los Angeles Dodgers are putting up 5.2 runs/g, which is 3rd in baseball.

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The Dodgers have a team ERA of 3.56 for the year (4th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 899 batters. Dodgers pitchers have surrendered 112 long balls in addition to 372 runs in total (1st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 303 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.87 as a unit so far this season. Los Angeles has allowed 714 base hits (7.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 353 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.97 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.14.

Dodgers pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 66 times as well as having 93 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 61 holds for the season (7th in the league). The Dodgers relievers have accumulated a save rate of 70.3% and stepped onto the hill in 99 save situations. They have recorded 26 saves for the season and have not converted 11 out of their 37 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 106 runners over the course of the season with 34.0% of them crossing home plate. The Dodgers have dispatched 320 relievers to the hill this season.

The Dodgers have turned 72.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,031 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 1st in professional baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers have notched a total of 2,677 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 842 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .990 which is 2nd in MLB, and they have turned 58 double plays.

Lauer (48-39 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.02 while going up against 3,166 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 708 base hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) with 267 free passes. His earned run average is 4.08 (336 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.315. Lauer has thrown 741 frames and has totaled 690 K's during his career.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for an OBP of .304 and a team batting average of .237 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 893 occasions (6th in the league) and have notched a total of 803 hits. Philadelphia has accumulated 133 HRs for the season as well as 427 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .403 and they score 4.38 runs per game (17th in the league). They have put up 136 doubles, while taking a walk 298 times and putting up 442 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 452 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.24 (422 earned runs relinquished). They have relinquished 122 home runs and they surrender 4.54 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.322 with a FIP of 3.82 as a squad so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.90 (986 strikeouts against 297 walks). They come in at 26th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 886.

Sitting with 82 save situations, the Phillies have 41 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 39 save opportunities and they have earned 29 saves. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.6% of 107 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 86 times in high leverage situations and on 76 occasions with runners on base. They are ranked 3rd in baseball with a save percentage of 74.4%, and they have sent 337 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

In 8,058 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 66.9% (29th in professional baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 56 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 829 assists, 50 errors and have 2,686 putouts during this campaign.

During his career, Nola has given up 1,636 base hits while accumulating 1,984 strikeouts in 1,818 frames. Nola (112-96 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 3.94 earned run average and has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 795 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.166 and having a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.10 and he has faced 7,491 opposing hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-145)

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