Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 9/14/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Monday, September 14, 2026

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+110) Arizona (-130)

The Miami Marlins (73-76) are hitting the road to Chase Field on Monday where they will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (79-70). The moneyline on this game has Miami at +110 and Arizona is at -130. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Sandy Alcantara and Corbin Burnes.

As a squad, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.4 runs per contest, which puts them at 17th in MLB. They have earned 660 runs scored while having a team OBP of .327. The Marlins have hit 230 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 152 baseballs out of the park. They have recorded 631 RBI's and 1,236 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate sits at .249. Miami has a slugging % of .401 and have struck out 1,227 times, while drawing a walk on 513 occasions.

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The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 4.10 on the campaign (13th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,198 batters. Marlins pitchers have allowed 152 home runs and 656 runs in total (13th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 516 batters and their FIP sits at 4.13 as a team over the course of the season. Miami has yielded 1,157 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 597 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.32 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28.

Marlins pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 132 times as well as having 140 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 84 holds on the year (10th in the league). The Marlins relievers have earned a save rate of 62.7% and have stepped onto the mound in 137 save situations. They have tallied 32 saves for the season and have not converted 19 of 51 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 190 runners this year with 27.9% of those runners crossing home plate. The Marlins have sent 491 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Miami Marlins are sitting with 3,929 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,249 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which ranks 26th in the majors, and have earned 105 double plays. The Marlins have converted 70.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,787 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 11th in MLB.

Alcantara (65-77 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.62 while facing 5,258 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 1,122 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 385 free passes. His ERA is 3.67 (520 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.182. Alcantara has taken the mound for 1,275 frames and has racked up 1,074 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Diamondbacks hold a team slugging % of .394 and they are scoring 4.42 runs per contest (18th in the league). They have hit 248 two-baggers, while walking 497 times and scoring 659 runs. Arizona has accounted for 145 HRs this season and 629 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,089 instances (28th in the league) and have earned 1,209 hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accumulated an on-base percentage of .315 and a team batting average of .242 this year.

The Arizona pitching staff have given up 656 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.09 (602 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 166 long balls and they surrender 4.46 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Diamondbacks hold a team WHIP of 1.278 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.33 as a team on the campaign. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 7.00 (1,029 strikeouts against 446 walks). They are currently ranked 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,248.

They sit at 11th in MLB with a save percentage of 68.5%, and they have dispatched 501 relievers onto the field for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 161 times in high leverage situations and on 134 occasions with runners on. With 134 save situations, the Diamondbacks have accrued 79 holds and 17 blown saves. Arizona has called on relievers to enter the contest in 54 save chances and they have recorded 37 saves. Arizona relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.5% of 196 inherited runners.

In their 11,925 innings played, the Diamondbacks have a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (7th in baseball). The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 129 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (2nd in baseball). The Diamondbacks have 1,294 assists, 56 errors and have amassed 3,975 putouts on the season.

So far in his MLB career, Burnes has conceded 758 base hits while he has totaled 1,116 K's in 971 innings. Burnes (63-38 career record) has earned a 3.14 ERA and has allowed 7.0 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 339 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.071 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.96 and he has gone up against 3,927 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Arizona (-130)

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