Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 8/4/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2026

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Braves.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+120) Atlanta (-144)

The Atlanta Braves (67-45) will play the Miami Marlins (58-55) at Truist Park on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Miami at +120 and Atlanta is sitting at -144. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Ryan Gusto and Grant Holmes.

Miami has a slugging % of .407 and have been rung up 918 times, while drawing a walk on 376 occasions. They have earned 477 runs batted in and 938 base knocks so far this season, and their batting average is .250. The Marlins have accrued 184 doubles as a squad and have hit 118 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 496 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .325. As a team, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which has them at 15th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.48 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.24. Marlins pitchers have conceded 112 home runs in addition to 483 runs in total (12th in the league). Miami has allowed 856 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 441 earned runs. The Marlins have a team earned run average of 4.00 on the season (11th in MLB), and they have rung up 943 hitters. They have walked 380 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.99 as a team on the campaign.

The Marlins relievers have accumulated a save rate of 65.1% and have come into the game in 111 save situations. They have recorded 28 saves so far this season and have missed out on 15 out of their 43 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 142 runners this year with 21.1% of those players crossing home plate. Marlins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 97 times and also have had 111 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 361 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have notched 66 holds so far this season (11th in MLB).

The Miami Marlins have a tally of 2,979 putouts on the year, in addition to 939 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which has them sitting 25th in professional baseball, and have earned 86 double plays. The Marlins have converted 70.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 8,937 innings, which has them sitting at 10th in professional baseball.

Gusto has taken the mound for 140 frames and has tallied 131 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Gusto (7-9 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 5.50 while going up against 628 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 5.58 (87 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.469. He has surrendered 157 hits (10.1 hits per nine innings) and has 49 walks.

The Braves have a slugging percentage of .418 and they earn 4.90 runs per game (6th in the league). They have recorded 175 doubles, while getting a free base 336 times and putting up 549 runs. Atlanta has tallied 150 home runs so far this year to go along with 529 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 897 occasions (24th in baseball) and have a total of 946 hits. The Atlanta Braves hold an on-base percentage of .315 as well as a team batting average of .249 over the course of the season.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.243 with a FIP of 4.14 as a team on the campaign. They have a ranking of 5th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 853. The Atlanta pitching staff have relinquished 441 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.67 (406 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.70 (960 strikeouts vs 384 bases on balls). They have allowed 130 home runs and they allow 3.99 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB).

Sitting with 132 save situations, the Braves have tallied 80 holds and 14 blown saves. Atlanta has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 49 save chances and they have tallied 35 saves. Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 23.9% of 117 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 124 times in high leverage situations and also on 82 occasions with runners on. They sit at 7th in the league with a save rate of 71.4%, and they have dispatched 358 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the season.

In 8,958 innings on the field, the Braves hold a efficiency on defense of 71.6% (4th in the majors). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 89 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in MLB). The Braves have accrued 914 assists, 53 errors and have a tally of 2,986 putouts this year.

During his career, Holmes has surrendered 260 base hits while accumulating 280 punch outs in 285 innings. Holmes (12-14 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.85 earned run average and has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 122 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.312 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.46 and he has faced 1,217 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+120)

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