Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 8/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Braves.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+106) Atlanta (-128)

The Miami Marlins (58-55) are headed to Truist Park on Wednesday where they will go up against the Atlanta Braves (67-45). The moneyline on this game has Miami at +106 while Atlanta is priced at -128. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Eury Perez and Bryce Elder.

As a squad, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have racked up 496 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .325. The Marlins have compiled 184 doubles as a squad and have knocked 118 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 477 runs batted in in addition to 938 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average is at .250. Miami is slugging .407 and have been called out on strikes 918 times, while drawing a walk on 376 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Picks Today

Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.48 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. Marlins pitchers have relinquished 112 long balls in addition to 483 total runs (11th in the league). Miami has relinquished 856 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 441 earned runs. The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.00 this year (11th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 943 hitters. They have walked 380 batters and their FIP sits at 3.99 as a unit on the year.

The Marlins have sent 361 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 142 runners this season with 21.1% of those players crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have 66 holds so far this season (11th in baseball). Marlins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 97 times in addition to having 111 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 28 saves on the year and have blown 15 of their 43 chances to save the game. The Marlins relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 65.1% and have come into the game in 111 save situations.

The Marlins have converted 70.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,937 innings on the diamond, ranking them 10th in the majors. The Miami Marlins have a total of 2,979 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 939 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .982 which ranks 25th in baseball, and they have turned 86 double plays.

Perez has taken the mound for 290 innings and is sitting with 325 strikeouts so far in his career. Perez (17-20 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.57 while facing 1,182 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.63 (117 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.095. He has given up 215 base knocks (6.7 hits per nine innings) with 103 walks.

The Braves hold a slugging % of .418 and they are scoring 4.90 runs per game (6th in baseball). They have hit 175 doubles, while taking a walk 336 times as well as racking up 549 runs. Atlanta has accounted for 150 HRs so far this season and 529 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 897 instances (24th in baseball) and have earned a total of 946 base hits. The Atlanta Braves hold a team OBP of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .249 on the season.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.243 and have a FIP of 4.14 as a team this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (960 strikeouts vs 384 free passes). They sit at 4th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 853. They have relinquished 130 home runs and they yield 3.99 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The Atlanta pitching staff have yielded 441 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.67 (406 earned runs given up).

Sitting with 132 save situations, the Braves have accumulated 80 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. Atlanta has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 49 save opportunities and they have earned 35 saves. Atlanta relievers have an inherited score percentage of 23.9% out of their 117 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 124 times in high leverage situations in addition to 82 occasions with base runners. They are currently ranked 7th in baseball with a save rate of 71.4%, and they have sent 358 relievers onto the field on the season.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 89 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (13th in pro baseball). The Braves have accrued 914 assists, 53 errors and have 2,986 putouts so far this season. In 8,958 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 71.6% (4th in pro baseball).

Elder (31-30 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.42 earned run average while surrendering 8.8 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.34 and he has faced 2,368 opposing hitters in his career. He has surrendered 272 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.334 and a FIP of 4.4. Thus far in his career, Elder has allowed 544 base knocks and he has 453 strikeouts in 553 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+106)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.