Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/24/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+110) Chicago (-130)

Wrigley Field is the site where the Chicago Cubs (87-70) will try to beat the Miami Marlins (77-80) on Thursday. The line on this matchup has Miami at +110 and Chicago is coming in at -130. The over/under is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Tyler Phillips and Clay Holmes.

As a squad, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which puts them at 16th in the league. They have earned a total of 700 runs while having a team OBP of .327. The Marlins have accumulated 238 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 162 balls out of the park. They have 670 runs batted in as well as 1,306 hits so far this year, while their batting average is at .249. Miami has a slugging % of .400 and have been called out on strikes 1,310 times, while drawing a walk on 540 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.34 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29. Marlins pitchers have conceded 167 long balls in addition to 697 runs in total (15th in the league). Miami has yielded 1,236 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 635 earned runs. The Marlins have compiled a team earned run average of 4.13 on the season (14th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,282 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 547 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.17 as a squad on the campaign.

Marlins pitchers have come into the game with runners on 145 times as well as having 159 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 88 holds for the year (11th in MLB). The Marlins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 60.0% and have come into the game in 147 save situations. They have earned 33 saves on the campaign and have blown 22 of 55 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 201 base runners on the campaign and 28.4% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Marlins have dispatched 528 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Miami Marlins have 4,153 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,312 assists and 98 errors. Their fielding rate is at .982 which is 28th in the majors, and they have turned 109 double plays. The Marlins have transformed 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,459 innings, which has them sitting at 11th in pro baseball.

Phillips (11-8 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.71 and he has gone up against 993 batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 219 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 83 free passes. His earned run average is 3.77 (99 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.278. Phillips has taken the mound for 236 innings and is sitting with 179 punch outs so far in his career.

Chicago has recorded 217 long balls on the campaign to go along with 791 RBIs. They have hit 266 two-baggers, while taking a walk 659 times and notching 837 runs. The Chicago Cubs are sitting with an on-base percentage of .339 as well as a team batting average of .251 for the year. The Cubs hold a slugging % of .430 and they are recording 5.33 runs per game (1st in the league). They have struck out on 1,311 occasions (15th in baseball) and have earned 1,357 base knocks.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.263 with a FIP of 4.64 as a staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.90 (1,226 strikeouts against 483 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 17th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,290. They have given up 229 long balls and they surrender 4.43 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball). The Chicago pitching staff have given up 691 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.17 (651 earned runs yielded).

With 124 save situations, the Cubs have accumulated 55 holds in addition to 28 blown saves. Chicago has had relief pitchers take the mound in 62 save opportunities and they have recorded 34 saves. Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.3% of 228 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 154 times in high leverage situations and on 161 occasions with runners on. They rank 26th in the league holding a save rate of 54.8%, and they have dispatched 504 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

In their 12,636 innings on the diamond, the Cubs have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (3rd in pro baseball). The Chicago Cubs have turned 118 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in baseball). The Cubs have 1,488 assists, 59 errors and have 4,212 putouts for the year.

Holmes (40-34 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.53 earned run average and has conceded 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.25 and he has faced 2,383 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 218 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.284 and having a FIP of 3.5. During his MLB career, Holmes has allowed 476 base knocks and he has 534 punch outs in 555 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+110)

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