Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 8/14/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, August 14, 2026

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Reds.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-196) Cincinnati (+162)

The Miami Marlins (62-59) are hitting the road to Great American Ball Park on Friday where they will play the Cincinnati Reds (57-62). The moneyline on this game has the Marlins at -196 while the Reds are priced at +162. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Sandy Alcantara and Chase Burns.

The Marlins have earned 197 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 123 baseballs out of the park. Miami has a slugging % of .405 and have struck out 980 times, while drawing a walk on 409 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.4 runs per contest, which ranks them 17th in MLB. They have accrued 512 RBI's and 1,007 base knocks this year, and their batting average comes in at .251. They have 534 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .327.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.52 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Marlins pitchers have conceded 120 home runs in addition to 511 runs (10th in the league). Miami has allowed 915 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 461 earned runs. The Marlins are sitting with a team ERA of 3.91 so far this year (10th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,012 hitters. They have walked 401 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a team on the season.

The Marlins bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 65.9% and have entered the game in 113 save situations. They have accumulated 29 saves this year and have missed out on 15 out of their 44 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 148 runners for the year and 22.3% of them ended up scoring. Marlins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 101 times in addition to having 113 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 387 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen have 67 holds over the course of the season (12th in MLB).

The Marlins have transformed 70.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 9,558 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 10th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have amassed 3,186 putouts thus far, as well as 997 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .981 which has them sitting 29th in pro baseball, and they have turned 90 double plays.

Alcantara has taken the mound for 1,238 innings and has earned 1,059 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.63 (500 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.176. He has surrendered 1,084 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 372 walks. Alcantara (65-73 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.58 while he has faced 5,099 opposing batters in the majors.

Cincinnati has accounted for 155 home runs this season to go along with 464 runs batted in. They have recorded 173 two-baggers, while walking 428 times and racking up 487 runs. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with an OBP of .307 and a team batting average of .227 over the course of the season. The Reds hold a slugging % of .394 and they earn 4.09 runs per outing (25th in the league). They have struck out on 1,136 instances (3rd in baseball) and have notched a total of 899 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 565 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.48 (526 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 151 homers and they allow 4.81 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.401 in addition to having a FIP of 4.69 as a team this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (953 strikeouts vs 493 free passes). They have a ranking of 15th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 988.

They rank 16th in the league holding a save percentage of 62.5%, and they have sent 420 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 146 times in high leverage situations in addition to 129 occasions with base runners. With 117 save situations, the Reds have tallied 66 holds and also 18 blown saves. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers enter the game in 48 save chances and they have earned 30 saves. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.0% of 182 inherited runners.

Out of their 9,513 innings on the diamond, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (11th in professional baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 82 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in pro baseball). The Reds have 964 assists, 63 errors and have accounted for 3,171 putouts over the course of the season.

Burns (13-5 career mark) has a 3.12 earned run average while giving up 7.2 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.39 and he has faced 690 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has conceded 58 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.173 and a FIP of 3.1. In his MLB career, Burns has conceded 134 base hits while accumulating 210 punch outs in 167 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+162)

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