Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, 7/2/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies

Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026

Location: Coors Field in Denver, CO

TV: Rockies.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-132) Colorado (+110)

Coors Field is the location where the Colorado Rockies (33-53) will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (46-40) on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Miami at -132 and Colorado is priced at +110. The total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers will be Ryan Gusto and Michael Lorenzen.

The Marlins have tallied 147 doubles as a team and have hit 78 balls out of the stadium. Miami is slugging .398 and have struck out 701 times, while drawing a walk on 286 occasions. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.5 runs per outing, which puts them at 17th in the league. They have tallied 369 runs batted in and 714 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate is at .251. They have accumulated 383 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .326.

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The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 3.96 on the campaign (12th in baseball), and they have struck out 726 batters. Marlins pitchers have relinquished 82 home runs and 359 total runs (12th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 295 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.95 as a squad for the season. Miami has conceded 643 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 333 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.46 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24.

Marlins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 73 times in addition to having 82 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 47 holds over the course of the season (14th in MLB). The Marlins relievers have a save percentage of 68.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 80 save situations. They have earned 22 saves on the season and have blown 10 out of their 32 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 109 base runners for the year and 19.3% of them ended up scoring. The Marlins have dispatched 275 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

The Miami Marlins are sitting with 2,268 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 697 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which puts them in 23rd in baseball, and they have turned 59 double plays. The Marlins have turned 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,804 innings on the field, which ranks them 7th in the majors.

Gusto has thrown 122 innings and has racked up 117 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 5.59 (76 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.496. He has given up 139 base knocks (10.2 hits per nine innings) with 44 walks. Gusto (7-9 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 5.51 while he has faced 552 batters in the majors.

The Colorado Rockies have recorded an on-base percentage of .325 as well as a batting average of .254 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 762 occasions (6th in the league) and have 743 hits. Colorado has compiled 94 home runs on the season to go along with 381 runs batted in. The Rockies hold a team slugging % of .415 and they average 4.62 runs per outing (10th in MLB). They have hit 161 two-baggers, while getting a free base 269 times as well as recording 397 runs.

The Colorado pitching staff have given up 500 runs for the season while having an ERA of 5.63 (472 earned runs yielded). They have given up 118 long balls and they concede 5.96 runs per 9 innings (30th in baseball). The Rockies have a team WHIP of 1.526 in addition to having a FIP of 4.83 as a pitching staff for the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.10 (599 strikeouts against 282 walks). They sit at 30th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 870.

They are currently ranked 24th in baseball with a save rate of 56.3%, and they have dispatched 260 relief pitchers to the mound this season. Their relievers have come in 75 times in high leverage situations and on 90 occasions with runners on. With 65 save situations, the Rockies have accumulated 32 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. Colorado has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 32 save opportunities and they have walked away with 18 saves. Colorado relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.0% out of their 145 inherited runners.

Out of their 6,795 innings on the diamond, the Rockies have a defensive efficiency of 66.6% (30th in professional baseball). The Colorado Rockies have gotten 69 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (22nd in professional baseball). The Rockies have recorded 721 assists, 51 errors and have a tally of 2,265 putouts for the year.

Lorenzen (57-64 career mark) holds a 4.29 ERA while conceding 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.16 and he has faced 4,605 opposing batters during his career. He has given up a total of 514 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.350 and a FIP of 4.2. In his MLB career, Lorenzen has conceded 1,041 base knocks and he has 892 K's in 1,077 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (-132)

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