Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/20/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros

Date: Monday, July 20, 2026

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+110) Houston (-132)

Daikin Park is the location where the Houston Astros (47-53) will meet the Miami Marlins (52-47) on Monday. The odds on this game have Miami at +110 and Houston is at -132. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Janson Junk and Tatsuya Imai.

The Marlins have recorded 167 doubles as a squad and have hit 100 balls out of the park. Miami has a slugging % of .409 and have been called out on strikes 800 times, while taking a walk on 336 occasions. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 13th in the league. They have earned 429 runs batted in as well as 831 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .252. They have earned a total of 446 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .329.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.46 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 96 long balls in addition to 425 runs in total (11th in the league). Miami has allowed 750 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 389 earned runs. The Marlins are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.02 for the year (10th in the league), and their staff has rung up 838 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 340 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.97 as a squad for the year.

Marlins relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 86 times and also have had 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 56 holds this year (11th in MLB). The Marlins relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 65.7% and have come into the game in 93 save situations. They have tallied 23 saves on the year and have blown 12 out of their 35 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 126 base runners for the year and 19.8% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Marlins have sent 319 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Marlins have transformed 70.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,845 innings, which has them ranked 10th in MLB. The Miami Marlins have notched a total of 2,615 putouts for the season, in addition to 806 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which ranks 27th in professional baseball, and they have turned 70 double plays.

Junk has taken the ball for 215 innings and is sitting with 159 punch outs thus far in his career. Junk (11-12 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.70 while he has faced 912 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.77 (114 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.307. He has conceded 240 hits (10.0 hits per nine innings) with 41 walks.

The Astros have a team slugging percentage of .410 and they score 4.53 runs per contest (12th in MLB). They have 153 two-baggers, while taking a walk 333 times and scoring 453 runs. Houston has hit 133 home runs on the campaign as well as 432 runs batted in. They have struck out on 815 occasions (17th in MLB) and have earned a total of 811 base hits. The Houston Astros have an OBP of .316 and a batting average of .241 for the year.

The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.396 and have a FIP of 4.84 as a pitching staff for the year. They are sitting at 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 799. The Houston pitching staff have allowed 503 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.75 (467 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.90 (872 strikeouts against 437 free passes). They have conceded 138 homers and they concede 5.11 runs per 9 innings (26th in baseball).

Houston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.2% of 137 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 98 times in high leverage situations and also on 91 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 78 save situations, the Astros have 44 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. They are currently ranked 1st in baseball with a save rate of 82.4%, and they have sent 315 relievers to the mound so far this season.

Out of their 7,968 innings on the field, the Astros are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (9th in MLB). The Houston Astros have turned 81 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in MLB). The Astros have racked up 732 assists, 42 errors and have earned 2,656 putouts on the campaign.

Imai (5-4 career win-loss mark) has earned a 6.06 ERA and has given up 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.91 and he has faced 233 batters in his career. He has conceded 35 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.500 and a FIP of 6.0. During his pro baseball career, Imai has conceded 45 hits while he has accumulated 63 strikeouts in 52 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+110)

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