Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 9/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Tuesday, September 1, 2026

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-160) Kansas City (+132)

The Kansas City Royals (62-76) will try to beat the Miami Marlins (69-68) at Kauffman Stadium on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has Miami at -160 while Kansas City is at +132. The total is 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Tyler Phillips and Randy Dobnak.

The Marlins have tallied 212 doubles as a squad and have smacked 137 baseballs out of the park. Miami has a slugging % of .397 and have been called out on strikes 1,124 times, while drawing a walk on 476 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 20th in the league. They have accounted for 566 runs batted in and 1,124 base knocks this season, while their team batting average is at .247. They have earned a total of 594 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .326.

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The Marlins have an earned run average of 3.90 on the campaign (9th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,116 batters. Marlins pitchers have allowed 134 home runs and also 579 runs (10th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 461 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.00 as a squad this year. Miami has given up 1,040 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 522 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.42 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Marlins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 62.5% and have come into the game in 126 save situations. They have earned 30 saves so far this year and have not converted 18 of their 48 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 167 base runners for the year and 22.8% of them crossing home plate. Marlins pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 117 times in addition to having 131 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 444 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have notched 76 holds for the season (12th in baseball).

The Miami Marlins have 3,611 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,149 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which ranks 28th in the majors, and they have turned 100 double plays. The Marlins have turned 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,833 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 9th in MLB.

Phillips (9-8 career mark) has a FIP of 3.80 and he has gone up against 927 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 209 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 76 walks. His earned run average is 3.86 (94 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.300. Phillips has taken the ball for 219 innings and has totaled 166 K's so far in his career.

Kansas City has tallied 141 home runs this year and 561 runs batted in. They have hit 249 two-baggers, while taking a walk 434 times and putting up 590 runs. The Kansas City Royals are sitting with a team OBP of .316 as well as a team batting average of .248 over the course of the season. The Royals hold a team SLG% of .401 and they are recording 4.28 runs per outing (21st in the league). They have been rung up on 1,085 occasions (25th in the league) and have a total of 1,148 base hits.

The Royals have a team WHIP of 1.394 and have a FIP of 4.61 as a pitching staff on the season. They have a ranking of 27th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,188. The Kansas City pitching staff have allowed 673 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.69 (631 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 7.40 (1,001 strikeouts against 502 bases on balls). They have surrendered 168 homers and they relinquish 5.00 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league).

With 128 save situations, the Royals have accrued 68 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. Kansas City has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 57 save chances and they have tallied 34 saves. Kansas City bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 41.0% out of 139 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 129 times in high leverage situations and also on 94 occasions with runners on. They rank 19th in MLB with a save percentage of 59.6%, and they have sent 443 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the season.

In their 10,911 innings on the diamond, the Royals have a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in baseball). The Kansas City Royals have gotten 121 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in MLB). The Royals have 1,256 assists, 61 errors and have accumulated 3,637 putouts so far this season.

Dobnak (11-14 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.09 ERA while giving up 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.05 and he has gone up against 831 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 87 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.379 and a FIP of 4.0. In his pro baseball career, Dobnak has surrendered 206 hits while he has totaled 119 strikeouts in 191 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (+132)

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