Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 9/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-128) Kansas City (+106)

The Kansas City Royals (62-77) will compete against the Miami Marlins (70-69) at Kauffman Stadium on Thursday. The odds on this game have Miami at -128 while Kansas City is priced at +106. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Sandy Alcantara and Michael Wacha.

The Marlins have accumulated 213 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 139 baseballs out of the park. Miami is slugging .397 and have been called out on strikes 1,139 times, while being walked on 480 occasions. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.3 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 19th in MLB. They have amassed 574 RBI's as well as 1,143 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average is at .248. They have a total of 603 runs scored and have an OBP of .326.

Get all of our MLB Picks

The Marlins hold a team ERA of 3.92 so far this year (10th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,131 batters. Marlins pitchers have conceded 137 home runs in addition to 588 runs in total (10th in the league). They have walked 467 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.02 as a unit for the season. Miami has surrendered 1,057 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 531 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.42 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Marlins relievers have a save percentage of 61.2% and have stepped onto the mound in 129 save situations. They have tallied 30 saves on the season and have not converted 19 of their 49 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 171 runners for the year and 23.4% of them ended up scoring. Marlins bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 121 times as well as having 133 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 451 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have 78 holds this year (11th in the league).

The Marlins have turned 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,986 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 9th in the majors. The Miami Marlins have accumulated 3,662 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,163 assists and 90 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which is 29th in MLB, and they have turned 101 double plays.

Alcantara has taken the ball for 1,264 frames and has totaled 1,071 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.62 (509 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.178. He has surrendered 1,109 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 380 free passes. Alcantara (65-75 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.57 while he has gone up against 5,209 batters in the major leagues.

The Royals have a team SLG% of .400 and they score 4.27 runs per contest (21st in MLB). They have hit 250 two-baggers, while taking a walk 437 times and scoring 593 runs. Kansas City has hit 142 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 564 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,091 occasions (25th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,154 hits. The Kansas City Royals have a team OBP of .316 in addition to a batting average of .247 for the year.

The Royals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.392 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.62 as a staff so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.40 (1,009 strikeouts against 504 free passes). They are currently ranked 26th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,196. They have allowed 170 home runs and they allow 5.00 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB). The Kansas City pitching staff have conceded 679 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.69 (637 earned runs yielded).

They are ranked 20th in baseball with a save percentage of 59.6%, and they have dispatched 446 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 129 times in high leverage situations and also on 95 occasions with runners on base. With 128 save situations, the Royals have earned 68 holds and also 23 blown saves. Kansas City has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 57 save chances and they have converted 34 saves. Kansas City relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 41.4% out of their 140 inherited base runners.

Out of their 10,992 innings on the field, the Royals have a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in professional baseball). The Kansas City Royals have turned 122 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in baseball). The Royals have 1,265 assists, 61 errors and have 3,664 putouts for the season.

So far in his MLB career, Wacha has surrendered 1,716 base hits while totaling 1,552 punch outs in 1,797 frames. Wacha (119-83 career mark) has a 3.84 ERA while giving up 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 766 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.258 and having a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.85 and he has gone up against 7,532 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-128)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.