Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Friday, July 17, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Brewers.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+106) Milwaukee (-128)

The Miami Marlins (52-45) are hitting the road to American Family Field on Friday where they will try to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers (59-37). The odds on this game have Miami at +106 while Milwaukee is priced at -128. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Sandy Alcantara and Logan Henderson.

Miami has a slugging rate of .411 and have been called out on strikes 778 times, while being walked on 334 occasions. They have 422 RBI's as well as 817 hits on the year, and their team batting average sits at .253. The Marlins have accrued 165 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 98 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 439 runs scored and hold an OBP of .330. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league.

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The Marlins have an ERA of 4.02 so far this year (10th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 815 hitters. Marlins pitchers have given up 95 home runs and also 415 runs in total (11th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 325 batters and their FIP is 3.98 as a unit over the course of the season. Miami has conceded 734 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 381 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.51 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24.

Marlins pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 84 times as well as having 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 55 holds so far this year (11th in baseball). The Marlins relievers have earned a save percentage of 67.6% and have entered the game in 91 save situations. They have accumulated 23 saves on the campaign and have blown 11 out of their 34 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 125 base runners for the season and 20.0% of them crossing home plate. The Marlins have dispatched 311 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Miami Marlins have earned a total of 2,562 putouts this season, as well as 788 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which ranks 25th in baseball, and have 69 double plays. The Marlins have transformed 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,686 innings, which has them sitting 9th in professional baseball.

Alcantara has taken the hill for 1,205 innings and has tallied 1,031 K's so far in his career. His ERA is 3.69 (494 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.181. He has given up 1,061 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 363 free passes. Alcantara (62-72 career record) has a FIP of 3.63 and he has gone up against 4,968 opposing batters in the majors.

Milwaukee has a total of 89 HRs this year to go along with 463 RBIs. They have 175 doubles, while walking 397 times and scoring 489 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with an on-base percentage of .337 and a team batting average of .254 so far this season. The Brewers have a SLG% of .398 and they earn 5.09 runs per game (4th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 784 instances (20th in MLB) and have totaled 832 base hits.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.169 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.59 as a team on the campaign. They rank 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 694. The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 363 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.48 (332 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.70 (928 strikeouts against 309 bases on balls). They have relinquished 95 home runs and they concede 3.81 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).

Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 40.4% of 114 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 99 times in high leverage situations and on 79 occasions with base runners. With 92 save situations, the Brewers have compiled 46 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. They are ranked 15th in the league holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 293 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year.

The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 71 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in professional baseball). The Brewers have accrued 737 assists, 40 errors and have earned 2,576 putouts over the course of the season. In their 7,728 innings on the diamond, the Brewers have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (6th in MLB).

In his MLB career, Henderson has conceded 38 base hits and he has 67 K's in 53 frames. He has surrendered a total of 15 ER's while earning a WHIP of 0.996 and a FIP of 2.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.47 and he has gone up against 210 opposing batters in his career. Henderson (6-1 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 2.54 ERA while giving up 6.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-128)

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