Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 5/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-182) Minnesota (+150)

The Minnesota Twins (18-23) will play the Miami Marlins (19-22) at Target Field on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Miami at -182 and Minnesota is coming in at +150. The over/under is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Eury Perez and Bailey Ober.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.3 runs per contest, which puts them at 16th in the league. They are sitting with 176 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .327. The Marlins have tallied 65 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 32 balls out of the park. They have compiled 166 runs batted in in addition to 335 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is at .248. Miami has a slugging percentage of .378 and have been called out on strikes 334 times, while drawing a walk on 142 occasions.

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The Marlins have an ERA of 4.06 for the season (14th in the league), and the staff has rung up 339 batters. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 33 home runs in addition to 179 total runs (17th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 151 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.82 as a team for the year. Miami has allowed 305 base knocks (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 163 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.25 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.26.

Marlins relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 30 times as well as having 39 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have recorded 23 holds for the season (13th in the league). The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 63.2% and have stepped onto the mound in 43 save situations. They have accumulated 12 saves this season and have missed out on 7 of 19 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 44 runners this season and 25.0% of them earned a run for their team. The Marlins have sent 126 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Marlins have turned 71.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,255 innings, which has them sitting at 8th in the majors. The Miami Marlins are sitting with 1,085 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 324 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which has them sitting 26th in baseball, and have 27 double plays.

Perez has taken the mound for 227 innings and has 258 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Perez (14-16 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.90 while he has faced 941 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.96 (100 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.153. He has conceded 178 hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 84 free passes.

The Minnesota Twins have compiled an on-base percentage of .325 as well as a team batting average of .237 on the campaign. They have struck out on 358 instances (9th in the league) and have earned 326 hits. Minnesota has accounted for 45 long balls this season to go along with 184 RBIs. The Twins hold a team slugging percentage of .383 and they are recording 4.73 runs per outing (9th in baseball). They have hit 60 two-baggers, while walking 158 times as well as racking up 194 runs.

The Minnesota pitching staff have allowed 206 runs this season while having a team ERA of 4.63 (185 earned runs given up). They have given up 39 HR's and they concede 5.15 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.386 in addition to having a FIP of 4.31 as a team so far this season. Their K/BB ratio is 7.80 (310 strikeouts vs 154 bases on balls). They come in at 23rd in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 345.

Sitting with 39 save situations, the Twins have amassed 26 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. Minnesota has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 13 save opportunities and they have walked away with 8 saves. Minnesota relievers have an inherited score percentage of 37.3% out of their 67 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 38 times in high leverage situations and also on 47 occasions with base runners. They are ranked 18th in the league with a save percentage of 61.5%, and they have dispatched 140 relievers to the hill for the year.

In 3,240 innings on the field, the Twins hold a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (22nd in professional baseball). The Minnesota Twins have turned 32 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (19th in professional baseball). The Twins have 316 assists, 20 errors and are sitting with 1,080 putouts so far this season.

During his career, Ober has conceded 596 hits while tallying 636 K's in 660 innings. Ober (34-32 career win-loss record) holds a 4.09 earned run average and has given up 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 300 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.127 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.30 and he has gone up against 2,696 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+150)

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