Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/29/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, May 29, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+110) New York (-132)

The New York Mets (23-33) will go up against the Miami Marlins (26-31) at Citi Field on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has Miami at +110 and New York is at -132. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Max Meyer and Freddy Peralta.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are recording 4.2 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have racked up 241 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .320. The Marlins have hit 91 doubles as a unit and have smacked 45 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 230 runs batted in and 460 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is at .245. Miami has a slugging rate of .376 and have been called out on strikes 460 times, while being walked on 187 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.36 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.27. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 53 home runs and also 254 total runs (19th in baseball). Miami has surrendered 430 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) and 233 earned runs. The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.19 so far this season (17th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 481 batters. They have walked 204 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.92 as a team on the season.

Marlins relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 41 times and also have had 50 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 26 holds for the season (21st in the league). The Marlins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 59.1% and have entered the game in 49 save situations. They have earned 13 saves for the season and have not converted 9 of 22 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 59 base runners for the year with 22.0% of them earned a run for their team. The Marlins have dispatched 174 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Marlins have turned 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 4,506 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 11th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have accumulated 1,502 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 465 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .982 which ranks 28th in pro baseball, and they have turned 39 double plays.

Meyer has pitched in 187 innings and has earned 188 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Meyer (11-11 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.35 while he has gone up against 809 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.42 (92 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.313. He has conceded 183 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 63 free passes.

New York has tallied 50 HRs this season as well as 204 runs batted in. They have recorded 70 doubles, while walking 162 times as well as putting up 214 runs. The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .292 as well as a batting average of .226 for the year. The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .350 and they score 3.82 runs per game (28th in MLB). They have struck out on 449 instances (20th in MLB) and have notched a total of 423 hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.310 and have a FIP of 3.65 as a squad so far this year. They are currently ranked 15th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 447. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 243 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.91 (218 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 9.40 (522 strikeouts against 211 walks). They have allowed 48 homers and they surrender 4.36 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB).

They are ranked 19th in the league holding a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 166 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 74 times in high leverage situations and on 63 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 36 save situations, the Mets have accumulated 21 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to enter the game in 15 save opportunities and they have earned 9 saves. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.1% out of their 82 inherited base runners.

The New York Mets have gotten 31 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in baseball). The Mets have racked up 454 assists, 30 errors and are sitting with 1,507 putouts for the season. In 4,521 innings played, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (24th in MLB).

Peralta (73-46 record in his career) has a 3.58 ERA and has conceded 6.8 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.14 and he has gone up against 4,116 batters during his MLB career. He has given up a total of 395 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.141 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. Thus far in his career, Peralta has allowed 745 hits and he has 1,216 strikeouts in 992 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+110)

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