Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/31/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+102) New York (-122)

The Miami Marlins (26-31) are hitting the road to Citi Field on Sunday where they will take on the New York Mets (23-33). The moneyline on this contest has Miami at +102 and New York is coming in at -122. The total has been set at 8. The men taking the mound are Janson Junk and Nolan McLean.

Miami has a slugging rate of .376 and have struck out 460 times, while drawing a walk on 187 occasions. They have 230 RBI's as well as 460 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .245. The Marlins have tallied 91 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 45 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 241 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .320. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 16th in baseball.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.36 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.27. Marlins pitchers have conceded 53 long balls in addition to 254 total runs (19th in MLB). Miami has conceded 430 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 233 earned runs. The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 4.19 for the year (18th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 481 hitters. They have walked 204 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.92 as a team so far this season.

The Marlins bullpen have a save percentage of 59.1% and have entered the game in 49 save situations. They have earned 13 saves for the season and have blown 9 out of their 22 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 59 runners on the season with 22.0% of them ended up scoring. Marlins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 41 times in addition to having 50 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 174 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have notched 26 holds for the season (21st in MLB).

The Miami Marlins have a tally of 1,502 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 465 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which puts them in 28th in pro baseball, and have a total of 39 double plays. The Marlins have converted 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 4,506 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 11th in MLB.

Junk has taken the mound for 210 frames and has totaled 154 K's in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.84 (113 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.305. He has conceded 237 base hits (10.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 37 free passes. Junk (10-12 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.77 while he has faced 891 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The New York Mets have an OBP of .292 and a batting average of .226 so far this season. They have been rung up on 449 occasions (22nd in MLB) and have earned 423 hits. New York has tallied 50 home runs so far this season and 204 runs batted in. The Mets have a slugging percentage of .350 and they tally 3.82 runs per game (28th in the league). They have 70 doubles, while walking 162 times as well as putting up 214 runs.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.310 with a FIP of 3.65 as a squad on the campaign. They rank 14th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 447. The New York pitching staff have given up 243 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.91 (218 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio is 9.40 (522 strikeouts against 211 free passes). They have surrendered 48 HR's and they surrender 4.36 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball).

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.1% of 82 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 74 times in high leverage situations and also on 63 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 36 save situations, the Mets have compiled 21 holds and 6 blown saves. They are ranked 19th in MLB holding a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have sent 166 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The New York Mets have turned 31 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (22nd in baseball). The Mets have recorded 454 assists, 30 errors and are sitting with 1,507 putouts on the season. In their 4,521 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (25th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, McLean has allowed 82 hits while he has earned 132 K's in 109 innings pitched. McLean (7-5 career record) has earned a 3.38 earned run average while giving up 6.8 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 41 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.072 and a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 3.77 and he has gone up against 441 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+102)

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