Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/2/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+125) New York (-145)

The New York Mets (47-63) are hosting the Miami Marlins (55-55) at Citi Field on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Miami at +125 and New York is opening at -145. The betting total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers will be Sandy Alcantara and Clay Holmes.

Miami has a slugging rate of .407 and have been called out on strikes 899 times, while being walked on 368 occasions. They have accrued 464 RBI's and 915 base knocks for the season, while their batting average is at .251. The Marlins have tallied 180 doubles as a team and have smacked 114 baseballs out of the park. They have 483 runs and hold an OBP of .326. As a team, the Miami Marlins are recording 4.4 runs per outing, which ranks them 16th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.46 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25. Marlins pitchers have conceded 110 home runs and also 479 total runs (14th in the league). Miami has surrendered 837 base knocks (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 438 earned runs. The Marlins have an ERA of 4.08 so far this year (11th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 918 batters. They have walked 373 opposing players and their FIP is 4.03 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Marlins relievers have a save percentage of 62.5% and stepped onto the hill in 104 save situations. They have 25 saves this season and have not converted 15 of 40 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 137 base runners so far this year with 21.9% of those runners crossing home plate. Marlins pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 94 times in addition to having 107 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 352 relievers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen have recorded 62 holds on the campaign (11th in the league).

The Marlins have converted 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,694 innings, which has them sitting at 10th in MLB. The Miami Marlins have accounted for 2,898 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 913 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .982 which ranks 25th in professional baseball, and they have turned 84 double plays.

Alcantara has taken the ball for 1,225 innings and has earned 1,046 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.67 (500 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.180. He has given up 1,077 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) with 369 walks. Alcantara (63-73 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.62 while he has faced 5,050 opposing hitters in the majors.

The New York Mets have accumulated a team OBP of .305 as well as a team batting average of .233 on the campaign. They have struck out on 928 occasions (13th in the league) and have totaled 861 base knocks. New York has a total of 129 home runs so far this season as well as 431 RBIs. The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .382 and they are scoring 4.12 runs per outing (26th in MLB). They have 135 doubles, while taking a walk 353 times as well as scoring 453 runs.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.293 and have a FIP of 3.99 as a unit over the course of the season. They come in at 15th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 883. The New York pitching staff have relinquished 502 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 4.11 (447 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.20 (998 strikeouts against 383 walks). They have yielded 120 HR's and they yield 4.61 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).

They sit at 20th in MLB with a save percentage of 59.4%, and they have sent 337 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 115 times in high leverage situations and also on 104 occasions with runners on. With 74 save situations, the Mets have earned 42 holds and 13 blown saves. New York has had relievers step onto the mound in 32 save chances and they have earned 19 saves. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 28.7% out of their 143 inherited runners.

The New York Mets have gotten 67 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (29th in baseball). The Mets have accrued 890 assists, 73 errors and have earned 2,939 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 8,817 innings on the diamond, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (19th in professional baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Holmes has given up 476 hits while he has totaled 534 strikeouts in 555 innings. He has conceded 218 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.284 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.25 and he has gone up against 2,383 batters in his MLB career. Holmes (40-34 career win-loss mark) has a 3.53 earned run average while giving up 7.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+125)

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