Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees Prediction, 4/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+172) New York (-210)

The New York Yankees (5-1) will play the Miami Marlins (5-1) at Yankee Stadium on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Marlins at +172 and the Yankees are coming in at -210. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Chris Paddack and Max Fried.

The Marlins have accrued 15 doubles as a team and have hit 6 baseballs out of the park. Miami is slugging .482 and have been called out on strikes 42 times, while drawing a walk on 19 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 5.5 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 5th in baseball. They have tallied 33 RBI's in addition to 56 base knocks so far this season, while their average at the plate comes in at .290. They have accumulated 33 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .365.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 6.67 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 0.83. Marlins pitchers have allowed 4 home runs and 18 total runs (5th in the league). Miami has surrendered 36 base hits (6.0 per 9 innings) and 17 earned runs. The Marlins are sitting with a team ERA of 2.83 this year (4th in the league), and the staff has struck out 60 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 9 opposing batters and their FIP is 2.56 as a squad over the course of the season.

The relief pitchers have inherited 1 base runner this season. Marlins pitchers have entered the game with runners on 1 time and also have had 5 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 15 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have earned 2 holds on the year (23rd in the league).

The Los Angeles Dodgers have accumulated 162 putouts thus far, as well as 42 assists and 4 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .981 which is 22nd in the majors, and have a total of 1 double play. The Marlins have turned 74.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 486 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 5th in baseball.

Paddack has taken the mound for 585 innings and has earned 535 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 4.74 (308 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.222. He has surrendered 589 base hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 126 free passes. Paddack (32-37 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.67 and he has faced 2,462 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Yankees have a slugging percentage of .359 and they score 4.00 runs per game (17th in MLB). They have 7 two-baggers, while getting a free base 16 times and scoring 24 runs. New York has hit 5 long balls for the season and 22 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 58 occasions (17th in the league) and are sitting with 45 hits. The New York Yankees have earned an OBP of .287 and a team batting average of .227 so far this season.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 0.847 and have a FIP of 1.87 as a squad so far this year. They sit at 1st in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 33. The New York pitching staff have allowed 6 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 1.02 (6 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.30 (55 strikeouts against 12 walks). They haven't allowed a home run and they concede 1.02 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB).

They are currently ranked 9th in baseball with a save percentage of 100.0%, and they have sent 21 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 8 times in high leverage situations and on 6 occasions with runners on.

In their 480 innings played, the Yankees are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 74.4% (3rd in pro baseball). The New York Yankees have turned 5 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .991 (9th in baseball). The Yankees have 54 assists, 2 errors and are sitting with 160 putouts for the season.

So far in his career, Fried has conceded 952 hits while totaling 1,062 strikeouts in 1,092 innings. Fried (94-41 career record) has a 3.00 earned run average and has given up 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has given up 364 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.145 and a FIP of 3.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.55 and he has faced 4,463 opposing batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-210) and under 8 runs

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