Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/16/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, June 16, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+102) Philadelphia (-122)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (38-33) will attempt to beat the Miami Marlins (36-36) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has Miami at +102 while Philadelphia is coming in at -122. The over/under is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Tyler Phillips and Jesus Luzardo.

Miami has a slugging rate of .383 and have been rung up 590 times, while taking a walk on 244 occasions. They have earned 298 runs batted in in addition to 584 base knocks over the course of the season, while their average at the plate sits at .246. The Marlins have earned 116 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 60 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 310 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .323. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are knocking in 4.3 runs/g, which puts them at 17th in the league.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.25. Marlins pitchers have conceded 67 long balls and 310 runs in total (15th in baseball). Miami has conceded 538 base knocks (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 286 earned runs. The Marlins have a team earned run average of 4.07 on the year (13th in the league), and their staff has rung up 624 batters. They have walked 255 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.91 as a team for the year.

The Marlins bullpen have earned a save percentage of 64.3% and have entered the game in 69 save situations. They have recorded 18 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 10 out of their 28 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 86 base runners for the year and 22.1% of those runners ended up scoring. Marlins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 57 times in addition to having 67 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 228 relievers to the mound on the season. The relievers have a total of 40 holds for the season (13th in baseball).

The Marlins have converted 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 5,616 innings on the field, which has them ranked 9th in baseball. The Miami Marlins have 1,872 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 565 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .981 which has them sitting 29th in the majors, and have accumulated 48 double plays.

Phillips has taken the mound for 162 innings and has tallied 121 strikeouts in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.44 (62 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.258. He has conceded 149 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 55 free passes. Phillips (7-3 career record) holds a FIP of 3.39 and he has faced 680 batters during his time in the major leagues.

Philadelphia has a total of 88 HRs on the year to go along with 278 RBIs. They have 92 doubles, while getting a free base 211 times and putting up 285 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have an OBP of .296 in addition to a batting average of .228 so far this year. The Phillies have a team SLG% of .385 and they are scoring 4.01 runs per contest (27th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 614 occasions (9th in MLB) and have accounted for 540 base knocks.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.304 and have a FIP of 3.62 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They are currently ranked 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 627. The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 308 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.11 (288 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.40 (660 strikeouts vs 196 walks). They have given up 75 long balls and they surrender 4.39 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball).

With 61 save situations, the Phillies have 30 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on relievers to enter the contest in 30 save opportunities and they have recorded 23 saves. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.0% out of their 75 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 64 times in high leverage situations in addition to 59 occasions with base runners. They rank 4th in baseball holding a save percentage of 76.7%, and they have dispatched 234 relievers onto the field this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 42 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in baseball). The Phillies have 598 assists, 32 errors and have a total of 1,870 putouts so far this season. In their 5,610 innings on the field, the Phillies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.0% (29th in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Luzardo has allowed 708 base knocks and he has 863 punch outs in 773 innings pitched. Luzardo (46-45 career record) is the owner of a 4.21 earned run average and has given up 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 362 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.254 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.29 and he has faced 3,240 opposing batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+102)

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