Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+126) Philadelphia (-152)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (39-33) will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (36-37) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Marlins at +126 while the Phillies are coming in at -152. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Sandy Alcantara and Andrew Painter.

Miami has a slugging percentage of .380 and have been rung up 603 times, while drawing a walk on 247 occasions. They have accounted for 298 RBI's as well as 589 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate comes in at .244. The Marlins have accounted for 117 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 60 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 310 runs while holding a team OBP of .322. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 19th in the league.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.11 over the course of the season (15th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 628 batters. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 69 long balls and also 317 runs in total (16th in the league). They have walked 259 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.95 as a team on the campaign. Miami has given up 548 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 293 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.42 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26.

The Marlins have dispatched 230 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have inherited 87 runners over the course of the season with 21.8% of those runners crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have a total of 40 holds this year (13th in baseball). Marlins pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 58 times as well as having 67 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 18 saves this year and have missed out on 10 out of their 28 chances to save the game. The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 64.3% and stepped onto the hill in 69 save situations.

The Marlins have turned 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 5,769 innings, ranking them 10th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have notched a total of 1,923 putouts so far this season, as well as 578 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which is 29th in the majors, and have 50 double plays.

Alcantara (58-71 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.65 while he has gone up against 4,829 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,030 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) with 353 walks. His earned run average is 3.70 (482 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.180. Alcantara has pitched in 1,172 innings and has accumulated 1,002 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

The Philadelphia Phillies have tallied a team on-base percentage of .297 and a batting average of .229 on the year. They have struck out on 618 occasions (10th in the league) and have 550 hits. Philadelphia has 90 long balls on the year to go along with 285 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .387 and they average 4.06 runs per outing (24th in baseball). They have hit 93 doubles, while taking a walk 215 times as well as putting up 292 runs.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.298 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.58 as a staff for the season. They rank 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 632. The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 308 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.05 (288 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.50 (673 strikeouts against 199 bases on balls). They have conceded 75 long balls and they relinquish 4.33 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball).

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.0% out of 75 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 64 times in high leverage situations in addition to 59 occasions with base runners. With 61 save situations, the Phillies have 30 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They rank 4th in the league holding a save percentage of 76.7%, and they have dispatched 237 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 43 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in baseball). The Phillies have accrued 616 assists, 34 errors and have amassed 1,921 putouts for the season. In 5,763 innings played, the Phillies have a efficiency on defense of 67.1% (29th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Painter has surrendered 77 hits while he has totaled 50 K's in 63 frames. Painter (1-7 career mark) has a 6.43 earned run average and has allowed 11.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 45 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.571 and a FIP of 6.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.27 and he has faced 285 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+126)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.