Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/19/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+106) Philadelphia (-128)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (67-58) will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (64-61) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has Miami at +106 while Philadelphia is at -128. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Sandy Alcantara and Aaron Nola.

Miami has a slugging % of .403 and have been rung up 1,017 times, while taking a walk on 421 occasions. They have tallied 528 RBI's in addition to 1,036 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is at .250. The Marlins have tallied 200 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 128 balls out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 550 runs scored and hold an OBP of .326. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.4 runs per outing, which has them at 19th in baseball.

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The Marlins have an ERA of 3.92 on the year (10th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,045 batters. Marlins pitchers have conceded 127 home runs and 530 runs in total (10th in MLB). They have walked 414 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.98 as a squad for the year. Miami has surrendered 949 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 478 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.24.

The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 65.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 115 save situations. They have recorded 29 saves over the course of the season and have blown 15 out of their 44 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 151 runners so far this season with 23.2% of them crossing home plate. Marlins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 103 times as well as having 115 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 398 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have recorded 69 holds over the course of the season (12th in MLB).

The Marlins have turned 70.7% of balls in play into outs in their 9,873 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 10th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have earned a total of 3,291 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,030 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which has them ranked 29th in MLB, and have a total of 92 double plays.

Alcantara has taken the mound for 1,245 innings and has 1,061 strikeouts in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.62 (501 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.175. He has allowed 1,087 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 376 free passes. Alcantara (65-74 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.57 while he has gone up against 5,127 hitters in the major leagues.

The Philadelphia Phillies have earned an OBP of .310 and a batting average of .239 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 1,069 occasions (8th in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,002 base hits. Philadelphia has accumulated 154 home runs on the season to go along with 539 RBIs. The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .401 and they are scoring 4.46 runs per contest (15th in MLB). They have 178 doubles, while getting a free base 399 times as well as earning 558 runs.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.306 with a FIP of 3.77 as a staff on the season. They are sitting at 24th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,065. The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 549 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.16 (512 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 10.00 (1,231 strikeouts vs 382 walks). They have yielded 147 homers and they give up 4.46 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball).

They rank 13th in the league with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 419 relievers onto the field this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 117 times in high leverage situations and on 97 occasions with base runners. With 100 save situations, the Phillies have 50 holds and also 16 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 48 save opportunities and they have come away with 32 saves. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 36.9% out of their 130 inherited runners.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 75 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in MLB). The Phillies have racked up 1,023 assists, 62 errors and have accounted for 3,326 putouts over the course of the season. In 9,978 innings played, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (29th in the majors).

Nola (113-98 career win-loss mark) has a 3.94 earned run average while surrendering 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.07 and he has gone up against 7,606 batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 807 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.171 and having a FIP of 3.9. In his MLB career, Nola has surrendered 1,665 base knocks while totaling 2,014 K's in 1,845 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-128)

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