Miami Marlins vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 7/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Friday, July 3, 2026

Location: Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-128) Sacramento (+106)

The Sacramento Athletics (40-46) will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (46-40) at Sutter Health Park on Friday. The line on this contest has the Marlins at -128 while the Athletics are sitting at +106. The total comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Tyler Phillips and Jack Perkins.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have accounted for 383 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .326. The Marlins have tallied 147 doubles as a unit and have knocked 78 baseballs out of the stadium. They have recorded 369 runs batted in and 714 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average is at .251. Miami is slugging .398 and have struck out 701 times, while taking a walk on 286 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.46 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. Marlins pitchers have yielded 82 home runs in addition to 359 total runs (12th in MLB). Miami has relinquished 643 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 333 earned runs. The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 3.96 over the course of the season (12th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 726 hitters. They have walked 295 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.95 as a team so far this season.

Marlins relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 73 times in addition to having 82 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 47 holds on the season (14th in MLB). The Marlins relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 68.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 80 save situations. They have 22 saves on the season and have missed out on 10 of their 32 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 109 base runners on the season and 19.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Marlins have sent 275 relievers to the mound on the season.

The Miami Marlins have accounted for 2,268 putouts for the season, in addition to 697 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which has them sitting 23rd in baseball, and have 59 double plays. The Marlins have converted 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,804 innings, ranking them 7th in professional baseball.

Phillips (7-5 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.66 while he has gone up against 752 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 166 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 61 walks. His earned run average is 3.71 (74 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.266. Phillips has thrown 179 innings and is sitting with 130 K's during his pro baseball career.

Sacramento has tallied 109 HRs over the course of the season as well as 379 RBIs. They have notched 132 doubles, while taking a walk 320 times and putting up 394 runs. The Sacramento Athletics have a team OBP of .326 and a batting average of .247 for the year. The Athletics have a team slugging % of .408 and they have an average of 4.58 runs per game (12th in MLB). They have been rung up on 749 occasions (9th in the league) and are sitting with 726 base hits.

The Sacramento pitching staff have given up 459 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 5.02 (429 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 127 HR's and they relinquish 5.37 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). The Athletics are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.449 in addition to having a FIP of 4.78 as a team this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (722 strikeouts vs 324 free passes). They rank 29th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 790.

With 100 save situations, the Athletics have compiled 56 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. Sacramento has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 42 save chances and they have converted 24 saves. Sacramento relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 35.9% out of 145 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 96 times in high leverage situations in addition to 97 occasions with runners on. They rank 23rd in MLB with a save rate of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 295 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Sacramento Athletics have gotten 57 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in baseball). The Athletics have accrued 654 assists, 32 errors and have a total of 2,307 putouts this season. In 6,921 innings on the field, the Athletics hold a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (27th in the majors).

Perkins (5-5 mark in his career) is the owner of a 5.25 ERA while giving up 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.83 and he has faced 389 opposing hitters in his career. He has given up a total of 52 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.267 and having a FIP of 5.2. In his career, Perkins has given up 78 base hits while tallying 99 punch outs in 89 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Sacramento (+106)

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