Miami Marlins vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 7/4/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026

Location: Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-152) Sacramento (+126)

Sutter Health Park is where the Sacramento Athletics (41-46) will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (46-42) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Marlins at -152 while the Athletics are priced at +126. The total is 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Sandy Alcantara and Aaron Civale.

Miami has a slugging % of .397 and have struck out 715 times, while taking a walk on 294 occasions. They have 376 RBI's as well as 728 base knocks this season, while their batting average comes in at .250. The Marlins have recorded 149 doubles as a squad and have knocked 79 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 390 runs and have an OBP of .326. As a team, the Miami Marlins are recording 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 18th in MLB.

Get all of our Free MLB Picks

The Marlins hold a team ERA of 4.07 over the course of the season (11th in the league), and their staff has rung up 736 hitters. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 87 long balls and also 379 total runs (11th in MLB). They have walked 300 batters and their FIP is 4.03 as a team for the year. Miami has surrendered 664 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 349 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Marlins have sent 281 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 112 runners on the season and 20.5% of them earned a run for their team. The relievers have earned 47 holds this season (14th in MLB). Marlins pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 75 times in addition to having 83 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 22 saves so far this season and have missed out on 10 out of their 32 save opportunities. The Marlins relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 68.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 80 save situations.

The Marlins have converted 70.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of 6,948 innings, which has them sitting at 8th in baseball. The Miami Marlins have accounted for 2,316 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 710 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which is 24th in baseball, and they have turned 59 double plays.

Alcantara has pitched in 1,190 innings and has racked up 1,015 K's in his career. His earned run average is 3.70 (490 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.186. He has allowed 1,050 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 362 free passes. Alcantara (61-71 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.65 while he has faced 4,911 batters in the majors.

Sacramento has knocked in 112 home runs so far this season to go along with 386 RBIs. They have notched 134 doubles, while taking a walk 322 times as well as scoring 401 runs. The Sacramento Athletics have a team on-base percentage of .327 as well as a team batting average of .248 so far this season. The Athletics have a team slugging percentage of .411 and they are scoring 4.61 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have been rung up on 754 occasions (11th in the league) and have a total of 738 base hits.

The Athletics hold a team WHIP of 1.446 and have a FIP of 4.78 as a squad so far this year. They come in at 29th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 795. The Sacramento pitching staff have relinquished 460 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.97 (430 earned runs conceded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (733 strikeouts against 330 bases on balls). They have allowed 128 homers and they concede 5.32 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB).

Sitting with 100 save situations, the Athletics have accrued 56 holds and 18 blown saves. Sacramento has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 42 save opportunities and they have tallied 24 saves. Sacramento relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 35.4% out of their 147 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 96 times in high leverage situations and on 98 occasions with base runners. They sit at 23rd in the league with a save rate of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 297 relievers to the hill this season.

Out of their 7,002 innings on the diamond, the Athletics have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (26th in the majors). The Sacramento Athletics have gotten 58 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in baseball). The Athletics have recorded 661 assists, 32 errors and have a tally of 2,334 putouts this year.

During his pro baseball career, Civale has surrendered 777 base knocks and he has 713 punch outs in 805 innings. He has allowed 378 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.242 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 3.20 and he has gone up against 3,378 batters during his pro baseball career. Civale (48-49 career mark) is the owner of a 4.22 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sacramento (+126)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.