Miami Marlins vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 7/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026

Location: Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-196) Sacramento (+162)

Sutter Health Park is where the Sacramento Athletics (41-46) will play the Miami Marlins (46-42) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Marlins at -196 and the Athletics are at +162. The total comes in at 8. The starting pitchers will be Eury Perez and Gage Jump.

The Marlins have earned 149 doubles as a team and have hit 79 baseballs out of the park. Miami is slugging .397 and have been called out on strikes 715 times, while drawing a walk on 294 occasions. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are scoring 4.4 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 18th in the league. They have accrued 376 runs batted in in addition to 728 hits this season, and their team batting average is .250. They have notched a total of 390 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .326.

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The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.07 for the season (11th in the league), and they have struck out 736 batters. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 87 home runs and 379 total runs (11th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 300 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.03 as a team this year. Miami has yielded 664 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 349 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 68.8% and have come into the game in 80 save situations. They have compiled 22 saves so far this season and have blown 10 of 32 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 112 base runners over the course of the season with 20.5% of those runners crossing home plate. Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 75 times as well as having 83 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 281 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have a total of 47 holds for the season (14th in the league).

The Miami Marlins are sitting with 2,316 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 710 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which ranks 24th in professional baseball, and they have turned 59 double plays. The Marlins have turned 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,948 innings, which ranks them 8th in pro baseball.

Perez has thrown 258 innings and has earned 294 K's during his career. His earned run average is 3.87 (111 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.126. He has allowed 196 base hits (6.8 hits per nine innings) and has 95 free passes. Perez (16-18 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.81 while he has faced 1,061 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

The Sacramento Athletics are sitting with a team OBP of .327 as well as a team batting average of .248 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 754 occasions (11th in the league) and have accounted for 738 base hits. Sacramento has compiled 112 long balls on the campaign to go along with 386 runs batted in. The Athletics have a slugging percentage of .411 and they have an average of 4.61 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have put up 134 doubles, while taking a walk 322 times and scoring 401 runs.

The Athletics have a team WHIP of 1.446 in addition to having a FIP of 4.78 as a pitching staff this season. They have a ranking of 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 795. The Sacramento pitching staff have conceded 460 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.97 (430 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (733 strikeouts vs 330 bases on balls). They have yielded 128 long balls and they allow 5.32 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league).

Sitting with 100 save situations, the Athletics have earned 56 holds and also 18 blown saves. Sacramento has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 42 save chances and they have tallied 24 saves. Sacramento relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.4% out of their 147 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 96 times in high leverage situations and on 98 occasions with runners on. They are currently ranked 23rd in the league with a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 297 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year.

The Sacramento Athletics have gotten 58 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in pro baseball). The Athletics have accrued 661 assists, 32 errors and have accounted for 2,334 putouts for the year. In 7,002 innings played, the Athletics hold a efficiency on defense of 68.8% (26th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Jump has allowed 35 base hits while he has earned 40 punch outs in 40 innings pitched. He has allowed 13 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.125 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.00 and he has gone up against 160 hitters in his career. Jump (3-2 career mark) has a 2.93 ERA and has given up 7.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sacramento (+162)

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