Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 9/19/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+120) San Diego (-144)

The San Diego Padres (84-69) will play the Miami Marlins (76-77) at Petco Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have Miami at +120 while San Diego is priced at -144. The total is 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Eury Perez and Casey Mize.

The Marlins have tallied 234 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 157 baseballs out of the park. Miami has a slugging percentage of .401 and have been rung up 1,269 times, while drawing a walk on 524 occasions. As a squad, the Miami Marlins are compiling 4.5 runs per outing, which ranks them 17th in the league. They have accumulated 651 runs batted in as well as 1,272 hits for the season, and their team batting average comes in at .249. They have a total of 681 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .327.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.33 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28. Marlins pitchers have given up 160 home runs and also 673 total runs (12th in baseball). Miami has given up 1,196 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and 613 earned runs. The Marlins hold a team ERA of 4.10 on the campaign (14th in the league), and they have struck out 1,238 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 532 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.16 as a team on the year.

Marlins pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 137 times and also have had 150 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 88 holds for the season (11th in MLB). The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 62.3% and have come into the game in 144 save situations. They have recorded 33 saves over the course of the season and have blown 20 of their 53 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 194 runners for the year with 27.8% of them crossing home plate. The Marlins have dispatched 510 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Miami Marlins have amassed 4,041 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,279 assists and 95 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which is 27th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 108 double plays. The Marlins have turned 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,123 innings, ranking them 11th in MLB.

Perez has pitched in 330 innings and has totaled 368 punch outs during his MLB career. Perez (19-23 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.78 while facing 1,361 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.84 (141 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.157. He has given up 255 hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) with 127 free passes.

San Diego has compiled 172 HRs on the campaign to go along with 644 runs batted in. They have tallied 223 doubles, while taking a walk 526 times as well as scoring 668 runs. The San Diego Padres have tallied an OBP of .318 and a team batting average of .242 for the season. The Padres hold a team slugging percentage of .397 and they have an average of 4.37 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,230 occasions (22nd in MLB) and have tallied 1,228 hits.

The Padres have a WHIP of 1.286 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.17 as a squad over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.20 (1,240 strikeouts vs 515 bases on balls). They sit at 13th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,228. They have given up 170 HR's and they surrender 4.24 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff have relinquished 638 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.95 (594 earned runs relinquished).

San Diego relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.9% out of their 238 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 181 times in high leverage situations and also on 146 occasions with runners on base. With 167 save situations, the Padres have recorded 98 holds and also 18 blown saves. They rank 6th in the league with a save percentage of 72.3%, and they have dispatched 516 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The San Diego Padres have turned 122 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in MLB). The Padres have 1,358 assists, 63 errors and have earned a total of 4,066 putouts this season. In their 12,198 innings played, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (10th in pro baseball).

Mize (25-28 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.34 earned run average while giving up 9.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.91 and he has gone up against 2,038 hitters in his career. He has surrendered 230 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.306 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. In his pro baseball career, Mize has conceded 490 base hits while he has totaled 387 strikeouts in 477 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+120)

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