Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 6/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Cardinals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-132) St. Louis (+110)

The St. Louis Cardinals (42-36) will take on the Miami Marlins (42-39) at Busch Stadium on Saturday. The line on this matchup has Miami at -132 while St. Louis is at +110. The total is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Ryan Gusto and Dustin May.

Miami has a slugging rate of .390 and have been called out on strikes 671 times, while drawing a walk on 270 occasions. They have recorded 335 runs batted in and 655 hits this season, while their average at the plate is .246. The Marlins have accumulated 133 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 73 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 349 runs while holding a team OBP of .323. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are earning 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 19th in the league.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.25. Marlins pitchers have given up 79 home runs and also 346 runs (12th in the league). Miami has relinquished 612 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 320 earned runs. The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.04 for the season (12th in the league), and they have struck out 691 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 280 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.97 as a team over the course of the season.

Marlins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 68 times and also have had 80 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 45 holds this season (15th in MLB). The Marlins relievers have accumulated a save rate of 68.8% and have entered the game in 78 save situations. They have earned 22 saves on the year and have not converted 10 of their 32 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 101 base runners on the campaign and 20.8% of those players crossing the plate. The Marlins have dispatched 262 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Miami Marlins have earned a total of 2,136 putouts on the campaign, as well as 648 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .982 which puts them in 27th in MLB, and they have turned 56 double plays. The Marlins have turned 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,408 innings, which has them sitting at 10th in professional baseball.

Gusto (7-9 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 5.65 and he has faced 537 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 136 base knocks (10.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 43 free passes. His earned run average is 5.74 (76 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.502. Gusto has taken the mound for 119 innings and has accounted for 113 K's during his pro baseball career.

St. Louis has accounted for 88 home runs on the campaign as well as 347 RBIs. They have recorded 113 doubles, while taking a walk 264 times as well as scoring 359 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have earned a team OBP of .327 and a batting average of .249 on the season. The Cardinals hold a team slugging % of .399 and they are earning 4.60 runs per game (12th in the league). They have been rung up on 607 instances (27th in MLB) and have accounted for 654 hits.

The St. Louis pitching staff have conceded 360 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.30 (333 earned runs allowed). They have given up 89 dingers and they yield 4.65 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.348 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.35 as a pitching staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.60 (587 strikeouts vs 259 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 23rd in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 681.

St. Louis relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.4% out of 122 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 91 times in high leverage situations and also on 84 occasions with runners on. With 94 save situations, the Cardinals have tallied 55 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. They are currently ranked 15th in the league with a save percentage of 64.9%, and they have dispatched 264 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 71 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in the majors). The Cardinals have 743 assists, 37 errors and are sitting with 2,093 putouts this year. In 6,279 innings played, the Cardinals have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (18th in the majors).

May (24-26 career mark) is the owner of a 3.96 ERA while giving up 7.8 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.77 and he has faced 1,698 opposing batters in his career. He has given up a total of 179 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.201 and a FIP of 3.9. So far in his MLB career, May has surrendered 354 base knocks while accumulating 374 punch outs in 407 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Louis (+110)

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