Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 8/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals

Date: Friday, August 28, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-128) Washington (+106)

The Miami Marlins (68-66) are traveling to Nationals Park on Friday where they will play the Washington Nationals (62-73). The odds on this game have the Marlins at -128 while the Nationals are priced at +106. The betting total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Eury Perez and Jackson Kent.

As a squad, the Miami Marlins are earning 4.3 runs per contest, which is 20th in baseball. They have 582 runs and hold an OBP of .326. The Marlins have tallied 210 doubles as a squad and have knocked 134 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 556 runs batted in and 1,109 hits this season, and their average at the plate is .249. Miami has a slugging rate of .399 and have struck out 1,094 times, while taking a walk on 459 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.44 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.25. Marlins pitchers have allowed 132 long balls and 563 total runs (10th in the league). Miami has surrendered 1,018 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 507 earned runs. The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 3.88 for the season (9th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,095 hitters. They have walked 448 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.00 as a unit for the season.

Marlins pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 115 times and also have had 129 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 76 holds over the course of the season (10th in baseball). The Marlins relievers have a save percentage of 62.5% and have come into the game in 126 save situations. They have 30 saves for the year and have missed out on 18 of 48 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 166 runners on the season and 22.9% of those players ended up scoring. The Marlins have sent 435 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Miami Marlins have 3,531 putouts on the year, as well as 1,124 assists and 84 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which has them sitting 27th in baseball, and have a total of 96 double plays. The Marlins have converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,593 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 9th in pro baseball.

Perez (19-21 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.45 while facing 1,274 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 230 hits (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 115 free passes. His earned run average is 3.50 (122 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.101. Perez has thrown 313 innings and has 350 punch outs in his career.

The Washington Nationals have a team OBP of .323 and a batting average of .248 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,124 occasions (15th in MLB) and have totaled 1,142 base hits. Washington has hit 186 home runs so far this season and 664 RBIs. The Nationals have a team slugging percentage of .430 and they are earning 5.16 runs per game (2nd in the league). They have 229 doubles, while walking 467 times and scoring 697 runs.

The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.393 in addition to having a FIP of 4.76 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their K/BB ratio is 7.80 (1,041 strikeouts against 482 bases on balls). They come in at 28th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,187. They have given up 187 homers and they concede 5.19 runs per 9 innings (28th in baseball). The Washington pitching staff have surrendered 691 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.72 (628 earned runs yielded).

They are ranked 28th in baseball holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 425 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 141 times in high leverage situations and on 138 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 136 save situations, the Nationals have 65 holds in addition to 33 blown saves. Washington has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 66 save opportunities and they have come away with 33 saves. Washington relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 42.7% out of their 213 inherited base runners.

Out of their 10,782 innings on the field, the Nationals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (22nd in the majors). The Washington Nationals have gotten 113 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (30th in pro baseball). The Nationals have accrued 1,226 assists, 90 errors and have earned 3,594 putouts during this campaign.

Suarez (0-0 record in his career) is the owner of a 0.00 ERA while allowing 0.0 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 0.00 and he has faced 0 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 0 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 0.000 and a FIP of 0.0. During his career, Suarez has given up 0 base hits while earning 0 strikeouts in 0 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (-128)

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