Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 7/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-196) Arizona (+162)

The Milwaukee Brewers (53-32) are headed to Chase Field on Sunday where they will go up against the Arizona Diamondbacks (43-43). The line on this matchup has the Brewers at -196 while the Diamondbacks are at +162. The over/under is 9. The starting pitchers are Brandon Sproat and Eduardo Rodriguez.

Milwaukee is slugging .396 and have been called out on strikes 697 times, while being walked on 356 occasions. They have 411 runs batted in and 730 hits so far this year, while their team batting average is sitting at .254. The Brewers have compiled 147 doubles as a squad and have hit 79 balls out of the stadium. They have racked up 436 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .338. As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are putting up 5.1 runs per contest, which is 5th in MLB.

Get all of our MLB Picks Today

The Brewers have a team ERA of 3.36 on the season (1st in baseball), and their staff has struck out 843 hitters. Brewers pitchers have yielded 83 home runs in addition to 312 runs in total (2nd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 284 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.55 as a unit so far this year. Milwaukee has yielded 617 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) as well as 285 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.97 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18.

Brewers bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 70 times in addition to having 86 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 40 holds this year (20th in baseball). The Brewers bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 65.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 82 save situations. They have accumulated 27 saves this season and have missed out on 14 out of their 41 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 100 base runners for the year with 37.0% of those players crossing home plate. The Brewers have dispatched 260 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have notched a total of 2,288 putouts on the year, in addition to 651 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .989 which has them sitting 6th in pro baseball, and they have turned 66 double plays. The Brewers have converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,864 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 7th in professional baseball.

Sproat has taken the ball for 95 innings and is sitting with 97 K's in his MLB career. His ERA is 5.20 (55 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.313. He has given up 84 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 41 free passes. Sproat (3-6 career mark) has earned a FIP of 5.12 and he has gone up against 400 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have compiled an OBP of .308 and a batting average of .238 this year. They have been rung up on 620 occasions (29th in baseball) and have totaled 678 base hits. Arizona is sitting with 78 HRs so far this year as well as 353 RBIs. The Diamondbacks hold a slugging % of .386 and they tally 4.27 runs per game (19th in baseball). They have put up 148 two-baggers, while walking 271 times as well as earning 367 runs.

The Arizona pitching staff have conceded 393 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.32 (363 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 106 long balls and they surrender 4.68 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.289 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.53 as a staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 6.90 (580 strikeouts against 252 free passes). They are currently ranked 21st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 723.

They rank 10th in the league with a save percentage of 68.8%, and they have sent 277 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 87 times in high leverage situations and also on 76 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 79 save situations, the Diamondbacks have 46 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Arizona has called on relievers to enter the contest in 32 save chances and they have converted 22 saves. Arizona bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.2% out of their 110 inherited base runners.

In 6,810 innings played, the Diamondbacks are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.5% (5th in the majors). The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 71 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in the majors). The Diamondbacks have 743 assists, 30 errors and have a tally of 2,270 putouts this season.

During his MLB career, Rodriguez has given up 1,362 base hits and he has 1,368 K's in 1,406 innings pitched. Rodriguez (101-68 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.04 earned run average while conceding 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 632 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.319 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.77 and he has gone up against 5,993 batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-196)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.