Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/18/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Friday, September 18, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-128) Baltimore (+106)

The Baltimore Orioles (75-78) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (95-57) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday. The odds on this game have the Brewers at -128 while the Orioles are priced at +106. The total is 9. The starting pitchers are Dustin May and Cade Povich.

Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .405 and have been called out on strikes 1,279 times, while being walked on 629 occasions. They have 744 RBI's as well as 1,341 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .259. The Brewers have accounted for 267 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 146 balls out of the stadium. They have racked up 788 runs while having a team OBP of .341. As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are putting up 5.2 runs per outing, which is 2nd in the league.

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The Brewers are sitting with a team ERA of 3.56 on the season (2nd in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,456 hitters. Brewers pitchers have conceded 163 home runs and 588 runs (4th in the league). They have walked 486 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.72 as a unit this year. Milwaukee has relinquished 1,128 base hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and 537 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.00 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19.

Brewers pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 122 times in addition to having 148 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 78 holds on the campaign (20th in the league). The Brewers relievers have recorded a save percentage of 71.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 146 save situations. They have accumulated 48 saves this year and have not converted 19 out of their 67 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 176 runners on the year with 39.8% of them earned a run for their team. The Brewers have dispatched 472 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Brewers have converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,219 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 8th in the majors. The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated 4,073 putouts this season, as well as 1,191 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .987 which puts them in 9th in the majors, and they have turned 114 double plays.

May has thrown 353 innings and has 324 K's during his pro baseball career. May (21-22 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.89 while he has faced 1,481 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.95 (155 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.209. He has given up 303 base hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) with 124 walks.

The Orioles hold a slugging percentage of .396 and they are scoring 4.50 runs per contest (13th in MLB). They have tallied 224 two-baggers, while taking a walk 560 times and earning 688 runs. Baltimore has accounted for 188 HRs on the campaign as well as 663 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,439 occasions (3rd in the league) and have earned a total of 1,198 hits. The Baltimore Orioles hold a team OBP of .315 and a team batting average of .234 on the year.

The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.347 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.10 as a team on the year. They are currently ranked 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,328. The Baltimore pitching staff have conceded 714 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.14 (628 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (1,229 strikeouts against 509 free passes). They have given up 166 homers and they allow 4.71 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball).

With 149 save situations, the Orioles have accumulated 80 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. Baltimore has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 66 save opportunities and they have earned 44 saves. Baltimore relievers hold an inherited score rate of 26.8% out of 213 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 164 times in high leverage situations and also on 156 occasions with base runners. They are currently ranked 12th in baseball holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 515 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

In their 12,279 innings played, the Orioles have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (27th in professional baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 114 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in baseball). The Orioles have 1,304 assists, 92 errors and have notched a total of 4,093 putouts for the season.

Povich (8-18 win-loss mark in his career) has a 5.04 ERA while allowing 9.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.36 and he has faced 982 batters during his MLB career. He has allowed 126 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.466 and a FIP of 5.0. During his MLB career, Povich has given up 240 base hits while tallying 212 strikeouts in 225 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-128)

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