Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+106) Chicago (-128)

Wrigley Field is where the Chicago Cubs (78-61) will go up against the Milwaukee Brewers (86-53) on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Brewers at +106 while the Cubs are priced at -128. The over/under comes in at 8. The men taking the mound are Logan Henderson and Kevin Gausman.

As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are knocking in 5.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 3rd in baseball. They are sitting with 695 runs while holding a team OBP of .339. The Brewers have tallied 244 doubles as a team and have knocked 129 balls out of the park. They have accrued 655 runs batted in as well as 1,207 base knocks on the year, while their batting average is at .256. Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .399 and have been called out on strikes 1,157 times, while drawing a walk on 573 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.03 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18. Brewers pitchers have conceded 146 long balls in addition to 527 total runs (2nd in the league). Milwaukee has allowed 1,020 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 479 earned runs. The Brewers have compiled a team earned run average of 3.47 on the year (2nd in baseball), and they have struck out 1,331 batters. They have walked 440 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.68 as a squad so far this year.

Brewers relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 108 times in addition to having 132 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 72 holds so far this season (20th in the league). The Brewers relievers have accumulated a save rate of 71.0% and have come into the game in 135 save situations. They have earned 44 saves so far this year and have blown 18 of their 62 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 152 runners so far this season with 40.8% of those runners crossing the plate. The Brewers have sent 423 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Milwaukee Brewers have earned a total of 3,728 putouts this year, in addition to 1,093 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them sitting 10th in MLB, and they have turned 105 double plays. The Brewers have converted 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,184 innings on the field, ranking them 6th in MLB.

Henderson has taken the hill for 101 innings and is sitting with 119 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Henderson (12-2 career record) sits with a FIP of 2.28 and he has faced 385 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 2.31 (26 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 0.870. He has surrendered 66 hits (5.9 hits per nine innings) with 22 walks.

The Cubs have a team SLG% of .433 and they are recording 5.37 runs per game (1st in the league). They have put up 237 doubles, while taking a walk 586 times and scoring 746 runs. Chicago has accounted for 196 long balls so far this season as well as 704 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,179 occasions (12th in baseball) and have 1,211 base knocks. The Chicago Cubs have a team on-base percentage of .340 and a batting average of .252 on the campaign.

The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.261 and have a FIP of 4.71 as a pitching staff this year. Their K/BB ratio is 7.80 (1,073 strikeouts vs 417 bases on balls). They rank 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,149. They have conceded 211 home runs and they relinquish 4.42 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 610 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.17 (576 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 108 save situations, the Cubs have amassed 49 holds and also 24 blown saves. Chicago has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 53 save opportunities and they have come away with 29 saves. Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.9% of 185 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 130 times in high leverage situations and also on 135 occasions with runners on base. They are ranked 26th in MLB with a save rate of 54.7%, and they have dispatched 445 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this season.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 106 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in MLB). The Cubs have 1,313 assists, 51 errors and have accounted for 3,728 putouts on the season. In 11,184 innings played, the Cubs have earned a efficiency on defense of 72.0% (3rd in baseball).

During his career, Gausman has conceded 1,862 base knocks while he has accumulated 1,983 strikeouts in 1,939 frames. He has allowed 826 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.240 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.66 and he has faced 8,102 batters so far in his career. Gausman (115-114 mark in his career) holds a 3.83 ERA and has surrendered 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (-128)

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