Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Reds.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-196) Cincinnati (+162)

The Cincinnati Reds (67-73) are hosting the Milwaukee Brewers (87-54) at Great American Ball Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Brewers at -196 while the Reds are priced at +162. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Dustin May and Andrew Abbott.

As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 5.0 runs per game, which is 3rd in baseball. They have 705 runs while having a team OBP of .339. The Brewers have accumulated 246 doubles as a team and have hit 131 balls out of the park. They have compiled 665 RBI's as well as 1,226 base knocks on the campaign, while their average at the plate comes in at .256. Milwaukee has a slugging % of .399 and have struck out 1,176 times, while being walked on 579 occasions.

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The Brewers have a team earned run average of 3.47 on the season (2nd in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,347 hitters. Brewers pitchers have allowed 148 long balls in addition to 534 total runs (2nd in the league). They have walked 446 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.68 as a squad this season. Milwaukee has given up 1,029 base hits (7.4 per 9 innings) as well as 486 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.02 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.17.

The Brewers relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 71.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 138 save situations. They have compiled 44 saves on the campaign and have blown 18 of their 62 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 152 runners so far this year with 40.8% of those players earned a run for their team. Brewers bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 108 times as well as having 135 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have sent 429 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen have racked up 75 holds on the campaign (16th in MLB).

The Milwaukee Brewers have earned 3,779 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,106 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them ranked 9th in professional baseball, and they have turned 105 double plays. The Brewers have converted 71.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,337 innings, which has them sitting at 6th in pro baseball.

May has pitched in 343 frames and has tallied 313 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.01 (153 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.221. He has conceded 296 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 123 walks. May (20-22 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.95 and he has faced 1,444 hitters in the majors.

The Reds have a slugging percentage of .396 and they are earning 4.15 runs per outing (24th in MLB). They have put up 197 two-baggers, while taking a walk 499 times and putting up 581 runs. Cincinnati has tallied 186 home runs on the year to go along with 557 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,329 occasions (2nd in the league) and have 1,064 base knocks. The Cincinnati Reds have an on-base percentage of .307 in addition to a batting average of .228 over the course of the season.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 689 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.64 (641 earned runs yielded). They have given up 180 home runs and they give up 4.99 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league). The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.424 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.71 as a unit on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.20 (1,129 strikeouts against 567 free passes). They rank 24th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,201.

They are ranked 15th in the league holding a save percentage of 63.8%, and they have dispatched 492 relievers onto the field over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 171 times in high leverage situations in addition to 149 occasions with runners on base. With 138 save situations, the Reds have accrued 77 holds in addition to 21 blown saves. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 58 save chances and they have come away with 37 saves. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 27.5% out of their 218 inherited base runners.

In their 11,178 innings on the field, the Reds have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (16th in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 96 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (19th in professional baseball). The Reds have racked up 1,125 assists, 78 errors and have earned 3,726 putouts this year.

Thus far in his career, Abbott has allowed 519 hits while accumulating 498 strikeouts in 561 innings. Abbott (34-33 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.70 earned run average while conceding 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 231 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.297 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.38 and he has gone up against 2,378 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-196)

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