Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 4/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, April 17, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-150) Miami (+125)

LoanDepot Park is the site where the Miami Marlins (9-10) will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (9-8) on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Milwaukee at -150 while Miami is coming in at +125. The total is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Robert Gasser and Janson Junk.

The Brewers have tallied 24 doubles as a unit and have smacked 18 balls out of the stadium. Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .382 and have struck out 145 times, while drawing a walk on 86 occasions. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are recording 5.2 runs per outing, which has them at 6th in the league. They have 86 RBI's in addition to 134 hits so far this year, while their team batting average comes in at .237. They have racked up 89 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .339.

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The Brewers have a team ERA of 4.17 on the season (18th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 155 batters. Brewers pitchers have conceded 17 home runs and 74 total runs (11th in baseball). They have walked 68 batters and their FIP is 4.06 as a team on the year. Milwaukee has allowed 137 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 70 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.28 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.36.

The Brewers bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 62.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 19 save situations. They have recorded 5 saves on the year and have blown 3 of 8 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 28 runners for the year with 42.9% of them ended up scoring. Brewers bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 17 times and also have had 18 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have dispatched 60 relievers to the mound this season. The relievers have earned 11 holds this season (13th in baseball).

The Miami Marlins have a tally of 453 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 151 assists and 6 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .990 which has them sitting 8th in the majors, and have earned 12 double plays. The Brewers have converted 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,359 innings, which has them sitting 21st in baseball.

Gasser (2-2 career record) holds a FIP of 2.67 and he has gone up against 143 hitters in the majors. He has given up 33 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 5 free passes. His earned run average is 2.71 (10 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.145. Gasser has thrown 33 innings and has 21 K's thus far in his career.

The Marlins have a team SLG% of .398 and they tally 4.63 runs per contest (12th in MLB). They have hit 32 two-baggers, while getting a free base 61 times as well as recording 88 runs. Miami is sitting with 14 home runs so far this year to go along with 86 runs batted in. They have struck out on 151 occasions (19th in the league) and are sitting with 163 base knocks. The Miami Marlins have a team OBP of .332 as well as a team batting average of .259 so far this season.

The Miami pitching staff have allowed 86 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.15 (76 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 19 homers and they concede 4.69 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.248 and have a FIP of 4.05 as a staff for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (165 strikeouts against 68 bases on balls). They rank 10th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 138.

Sitting with 18 save situations, the Marlins have tallied 9 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. Miami has called on relievers to take the mound in 8 save opportunities and they have recorded 5 saves. Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 35.3% of 17 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 15 times in high leverage situations and on 11 occasions with base runners. They rank 15th in MLB holding a save rate of 62.5%, and they have dispatched 53 relievers onto the field on the year.

In 1,485 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (11th in baseball). The Miami Marlins have gotten 9 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .977 (28th in pro baseball). The Marlins have 145 assists, 15 errors and are sitting with 495 putouts for the season.

Thus far in his career, Junk has given up 189 base knocks and he has 123 punch outs in 166 frames. Junk (7-9 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.82 ERA and has allowed 10.2 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 89 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.306 and a FIP of 4.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.39 and he has gone up against 705 opposing batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-150)

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