Milwaukee Brewers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 5/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-182) Minnesota (+150)

The Milwaukee Brewers (24-17) are headed to Target Field on Sunday where they will take on the Minnesota Twins (20-24). The odds on this game have Milwaukee at -182 and Minnesota opens at +150. The betting total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Brandon Sproat and Bailey Ober.

As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 5.1 runs per contest, which puts them at 3rd in the league. They have earned a total of 209 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .336. The Brewers have tallied 68 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 27 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 201 runs batted in as well as 336 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate sits at .245. Milwaukee has a slugging % of .359 and have struck out 329 times, while being walked on 184 occasions.

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The Brewers have compiled a team earned run average of 3.35 on the year (3rd in the league), and they have rung up 402 batters. Brewers pitchers have allowed 32 home runs and 149 runs in total (2nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 147 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.35 as a team so far this year. Milwaukee has allowed 302 base knocks (7.4 per 9 innings) and 136 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.73 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.23.

Brewers relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 35 times as well as having 42 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 24 holds for the season (14th in baseball). The Brewers relievers have a save rate of 63.2% and have entered the game in 44 save situations. They have earned 12 saves on the season and have not converted 7 out of their 19 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 53 base runners so far this year with 35.8% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Brewers have sent 135 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a total of 1,096 putouts this season, as well as 324 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which puts them in 14th in professional baseball, and have 31 double plays. The Brewers have transformed 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,288 innings, which has them sitting 21st in the majors.

Sproat (1-4 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 5.36 and he has gone up against 238 opposing hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 53 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) with 27 walks. His earned run average is 5.44 (34 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.423. Sproat has taken the mound for 56 innings and is sitting with 53 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

The Minnesota Twins have a team OBP of .325 as well as a team batting average of .236 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 388 instances (8th in the league) and have tallied 347 hits. Minnesota has a total of 49 long balls so far this year as well as 200 RBIs. The Twins hold a team SLG% of .385 and they are scoring 4.80 runs per game (8th in baseball). They have recorded 67 doubles, while getting a free base 173 times as well as scoring 211 runs.

The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.357 and have a FIP of 4.20 as a pitching staff this season. They are sitting at 20th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 363. The Minnesota pitching staff have allowed 216 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 4.49 (193 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.70 (332 strikeouts against 162 free passes). They have given up 40 long balls and they give up 5.02 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league).

With 39 save situations, the Twins have earned 26 holds and also 5 blown saves. Minnesota has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 13 save chances and they have converted 8 saves. Minnesota relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.6% of 70 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 38 times in high leverage situations and also on 49 occasions with base runners. They are ranked 18th in the league with a save rate of 61.5%, and they have sent 144 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 34 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in pro baseball). The Twins have accrued 334 assists, 22 errors and have amassed 1,161 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 3,483 innings played, the Twins are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.9% (18th in MLB).

During his pro baseball career, Ober has conceded 598 hits while he has earned 643 K's in 669 innings. Ober (35-32 career mark) holds a 4.03 ERA and has conceded 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 300 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.115 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.34 and he has gone up against 2,725 opposing hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+150)

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