Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/25/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-128) New York (+106)

The New York Mets (59-72) will try to beat the Milwaukee Brewers (81-50) at Citi Field on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Brewers at -128 and the Mets are coming in at +106. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Kyle Harrison and Zac Thornton.

The Brewers have accumulated 229 doubles as a team and have knocked 120 balls out of the park. Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .396 and have been called out on strikes 1,095 times, while taking a walk on 543 occasions. As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.0 runs per game, which puts them at 4th in baseball. They have accrued 611 RBI's as well as 1,123 hits on the season, while their team batting average sits at .254. They have accounted for 650 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .337.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.06 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.17. Brewers pitchers have allowed 130 long balls in addition to 489 total runs (2nd in MLB). Milwaukee has given up 951 base hits (7.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 445 earned runs. The Brewers have an earned run average of 3.42 over the course of the season (2nd in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,269 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 415 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.56 as a unit on the year.

The Brewers have sent 398 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 142 runners on the season with 41.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have earned 67 holds for the season (18th in the league). Brewers relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 101 times in addition to having 128 appearances in high leverage situations. They have 43 saves for the year and have not converted 18 of their 61 chances to get a save. The Brewers relievers have a save rate of 70.5% and have entered the game in 129 save situations.

The Brewers have transformed 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,542 innings, which has them sitting 8th in the majors. The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for 3,514 putouts on the year, as well as 1,020 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which ranks 8th in the majors, and they have turned 99 double plays.

Harrison has taken the mound for 292 innings and has totaled 313 K's so far in his career. His ERA is 3.88 (126 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.249. He has allowed 272 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 93 free passes. Harrison (19-12 career mark) has a FIP of 3.82 and he has gone up against 1,237 batters in the major leagues.

New York has 161 HRs on the season and 523 RBIs. They have put up 165 doubles, while walking 420 times and putting up 546 runs. The New York Mets have an OBP of .307 and a team batting average of .236 on the season. The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .391 and they are earning 4.17 runs per game (23rd in baseball). They have struck out on 1,112 occasions (12th in the league) and have earned 1,040 hits.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.300 and have a FIP of 4.05 as a pitching staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.10 (1,183 strikeouts against 469 walks). They are currently ranked 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,046. They have relinquished 145 homers and they concede 4.53 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have conceded 586 runs this season while having a team ERA of 4.07 (527 earned runs surrendered).

New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.5% of 171 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 140 times in high leverage situations and also on 122 occasions with base runners. With 97 save situations, the Mets have earned 55 holds and 14 blown saves. They rank 15th in baseball with a save percentage of 64.1%, and they have dispatched 401 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this season.

The New York Mets have gotten 80 double plays and have a fielding rate of .982 (25th in MLB). The Mets have 1,032 assists, 81 errors and have earned 3,497 putouts this season. In 10,491 innings on the diamond, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (19th in MLB).

So far in his MLB career, Thornton has allowed 44 base hits while he has earned 36 strikeouts in 50 frames. Thornton (3-4 career record) has a 3.05 earned run average while surrendering 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 17 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.158 and a FIP of 3.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and he has faced 200 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+106)

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