Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, August 27, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-160) New York (+132)

Citi Field is the site where the New York Mets (60-72) will play the Milwaukee Brewers (81-51) on Thursday. The odds on this game have Milwaukee at -160 and New York is priced at +132. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Jacob Misiorowski and Sean Manaea.

Milwaukee has a slugging rate of .396 and have struck out 1,104 times, while being walked on 546 occasions. They have recorded 613 RBI's as well as 1,132 hits so far this season, and their team batting average comes in at .254. The Brewers have hit 232 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 120 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 652 runs and hold an OBP of .337. As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are knocking in 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in baseball.

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The Brewers have an ERA of 3.41 for the year (2nd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,276 hitters. Brewers pitchers have yielded 132 home runs and 492 runs in total (2nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 418 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.57 as a unit on the year. Milwaukee has surrendered 962 base hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and 447 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.05 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.17.

Brewers relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 102 times as well as having 130 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have 67 holds for the season (19th in baseball). The Brewers relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 70.5% and stepped onto the hill in 129 save situations. They have accumulated 43 saves over the course of the season and have blown 18 of 61 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 144 base runners on the year with 41.0% of them earned a run for their team. The Brewers have sent 402 relievers to the hill this season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated 3,542 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,032 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which puts them in 9th in MLB, and they have turned 100 double plays. The Brewers have converted 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 10,626 innings on the field, which ranks them 8th in the majors.

Misiorowski (18-8 mark in his career) has a FIP of 2.48 and he has faced 823 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 128 hits (5.5 hits per nine innings) and has 64 walks. His earned run average is 2.52 (59 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.910. Misiorowski has taken the ball for 211 frames and is sitting with 303 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

The New York Mets have earned an OBP of .307 in addition to a batting average of .237 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 1,119 occasions (13th in MLB) and have tallied 1,051 base hits. New York is sitting with 163 home runs this year to go along with 525 RBIs. The Mets have a team SLG% of .392 and they score 4.16 runs per outing (23rd in MLB). They have recorded 166 two-baggers, while walking 423 times as well as recording 549 runs.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.299 with a FIP of 4.03 as a unit this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.10 (1,192 strikeouts vs 472 walks). They rank 10th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,055. They have given up 145 dingers and they give up 4.50 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have given up 588 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 4.05 (529 earned runs given up).

Sitting with 99 save situations, the Mets have tallied 56 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to enter the game in 40 save chances and they have recorded 25 saves. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.2% of 173 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 144 times in high leverage situations and on 124 occasions with base runners. They are currently ranked 16th in the league with a save rate of 62.5%, and they have dispatched 405 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season.

The New York Mets have turned 82 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (25th in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 1,043 assists, 81 errors and have accounted for 3,527 putouts for the year. In 10,581 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (20th in pro baseball).

Manaea (83-71 career record) has earned a 4.10 ERA while allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.37 and he has gone up against 5,702 opposing batters so far in his career. He has allowed 621 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.211 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. In his career, Manaea has surrendered 1,264 base knocks while earning 1,301 K's in 1,362 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-160)

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