Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/24/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-122) Philadelphia (+102)

The Philadelphia Phillies (87-70) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (98-59) at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Milwaukee at -122 while Philadelphia is opening at +102. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Colton Gordon and Jose Urquidy.

Milwaukee is slugging .402 and have been rung up 1,338 times, while being walked on 650 occasions. They have recorded 762 runs batted in and 1,375 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average comes in at .258. The Brewers have earned 270 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 149 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 806 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .340. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are earning 5.1 runs per game, which ranks them 2nd in the league.

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The Brewers have compiled a team earned run average of 3.55 so far this season (2nd in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,496 batters. Brewers pitchers have given up 166 home runs in addition to 606 total runs (5th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 503 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.72 as a team on the season. Milwaukee has relinquished 1,163 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 553 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.97 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.19.

The Brewers bullpen have earned a save rate of 71.8% and stepped onto the hill in 155 save situations. They have compiled 51 saves this season and have blown 20 out of their 71 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 185 base runners over the course of the season and 37.8% of those runners crossing home plate. Brewers pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 127 times in addition to having 155 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have sent 492 relievers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 82 holds this season (18th in MLB).

The Brewers have transformed 70.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,615 innings, which ranks them 8th in pro baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have a total of 4,205 putouts this season, as well as 1,234 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which has them ranked 8th in baseball, and have 117 double plays.

Gordon has taken the ball for 95 innings and has 83 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 5.96 (63 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.535. He has surrendered 124 base hits (11.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 22 walks. Gordon (6-4 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 5.87 while facing 429 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Phillies have a SLG% of .397 and they are earning 4.48 runs per outing (12th in MLB). They have notched 234 two-baggers, while walking 509 times and putting up 703 runs. Philadelphia has tallied 180 home runs so far this year and 682 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,286 occasions (19th in baseball) and have a total of 1,268 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .312 as well as a team batting average of .241 for the season.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.283 and have a FIP of 3.79 as a squad on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.90 (1,525 strikeouts vs 470 free passes). They sit at 21st in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,318. They have given up 184 homers and they allow 4.34 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 672 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.01 (620 earned runs given up).

With 140 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 73 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 65 save opportunities and they have come away with 42 saves. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.2% out of 164 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 155 times in high leverage situations and also on 118 occasions with runners on. They sit at 15th in the league with a save percentage of 64.6%, and they have sent 514 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

In 12,540 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (28th in pro baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 101 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in pro baseball). The Phillies have recorded 1,294 assists, 77 errors and are sitting with 4,180 putouts over the course of the season.

Thus far in his career, Urquidy has surrendered 375 base hits while accumulating 335 strikeouts in 411 innings. Urquidy (27-16 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.96 earned run average and has surrendered 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 181 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.155 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.35 and he has faced 1,695 opposing batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+102)

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