Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Friday, July 10, 2026

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-128) Pittsburgh (+106)

PNC Park is where the Pittsburgh Pirates (47-46) will meet the Milwaukee Brewers (58-34) on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has Milwaukee at -128 and Pittsburgh is opening at +106. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Brandon Sproat and Braxton Ashcraft.

The Brewers have recorded 165 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 84 baseballs out of the park. Milwaukee has a slugging rate of .397 and have struck out 751 times, while drawing a walk on 379 occasions. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 5.1 runs per game, which ranks them 5th in baseball. They have compiled 442 RBI's as well as 797 base knocks on the season, and their batting average comes in at .255. They have 468 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .337.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.00 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.16. Brewers pitchers have surrendered 89 home runs and 335 runs (2nd in baseball). Milwaukee has conceded 660 base hits (7.2 per 9 innings) as well as 305 earned runs. The Brewers hold a team ERA of 3.32 for the season (1st in the league), and their staff has struck out 896 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 299 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.55 as a unit on the season.

Brewers relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 75 times and also have had 98 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 44 holds this season (18th in MLB). The Brewers bullpen have a save percentage of 68.2% and have come into the game in 89 save situations. They have tallied 30 saves over the course of the season and have blown 14 out of their 44 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 107 runners over the course of the season and 36.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Brewers have dispatched 280 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Brewers have turned 71.4% of balls in play into outs in their 7,431 innings, ranking them 5th in pro baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have 2,477 putouts this season, in addition to 706 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which puts them in 6th in the majors, and have earned 68 double plays.

Sproat (3-6 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 5.00 while facing 420 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 89 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 44 free passes. His earned run average is 5.08 (56 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.341. Sproat has taken the hill for 99 innings and has 101 K's in his career.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have tallied a team on-base percentage of .341 as well as a team batting average of .262 so far this year. They have been rung up on 875 occasions (2nd in the league) and have earned 849 base hits. Pittsburgh has 117 HRs for the season to go along with 467 RBIs. The Pirates hold a team slugging percentage of .421 and they score 5.24 runs per outing (3rd in baseball). They have recorded 146 doubles, while walking 351 times and scoring 487 runs.

The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.306 in addition to having a FIP of 3.99 as a team so far this year. They rank 15th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 752. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have given up 449 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.26 (393 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.20 (848 strikeouts against 332 free passes). They have surrendered 97 HR's and they relinquish 4.87 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB).

Pittsburgh relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.1% out of their 122 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 84 times in high leverage situations and also on 86 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 78 save situations, the Pirates have 43 holds and 17 blown saves. They are currently ranked 28th in MLB holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 295 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season.

In 7,476 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (22nd in professional baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 71 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in professional baseball). The Pirates have recorded 736 assists, 56 errors and have accumulated 2,492 putouts on the campaign.

Ashcraft (13-7 career record) has earned a 3.05 earned run average while conceding 8.0 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.94 and he has faced 731 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 60 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.162 and having a FIP of 3.0. Thus far in his career, Ashcraft has surrendered 157 hits while he has earned 193 strikeouts in 177 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+106)

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