Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 8/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Monday, August 10, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-196) San Diego (+162)

The Milwaukee Brewers (72-44) are on their way to Petco Park on Monday where they will play the San Diego Padres (60-57). The moneyline on this contest has the Brewers at -196 and the Padres are opening at +162. The total has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Logan Henderson and Casey Mize.

Milwaukee is slugging .398 and have struck out 953 times, while drawing a walk on 480 occasions. They have accounted for 546 RBI's in addition to 990 hits so far this season, and their batting average is at .253. The Brewers have accounted for 208 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 107 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 577 runs while holding a team OBP of .336. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 5th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.12 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.16. Brewers pitchers have conceded 116 home runs and also 438 runs in total (2nd in baseball). Milwaukee has allowed 840 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and also 401 earned runs. The Brewers are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.48 on the year (3rd in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,135 batters. They have walked 364 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.54 as a team so far this season.

The Brewers have dispatched 354 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 126 runners this season with 42.9% of them crossing the plate. The relievers have tallied 59 holds for the year (19th in MLB). Brewers relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 88 times in addition to having 110 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 37 saves over the course of the season and have blown 15 out of their 52 chances to save the game. The Brewers relievers have recorded a save percentage of 71.2% and have entered the game in 112 save situations.

The Brewers have turned 71.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,330 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 6th in MLB. The Milwaukee Brewers have amassed 3,110 putouts so far this season, as well as 901 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .988 which is 6th in the majors, and they have turned 85 double plays.

Henderson has pitched in 75 frames and has totaled 95 strikeouts in his MLB career. Henderson (9-1 career record) sits with a FIP of 2.36 while going up against 291 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 2.40 (20 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 0.932. He has given up 52 base hits (6.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 18 walks.

The San Diego Padres hold an OBP of .313 in addition to a team batting average of .236 so far this season. They have struck out on 956 occasions (17th in MLB) and have a total of 910 base knocks. San Diego is sitting with 123 long balls so far this year and 477 runs batted in. The Padres have a team slugging % of .383 and they average 4.22 runs per game (21st in MLB). They have hit 175 doubles, while getting a free base 399 times as well as recording 494 runs.

The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 510 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.19 (481 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 131 home runs and they concede 4.45 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.332 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.23 as a team this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.20 (945 strikeouts vs 407 free passes). They are sitting at 21st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 968.

With 121 save situations, the Padres have earned 69 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. San Diego has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 49 save opportunities and they have tallied 34 saves. San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.5% out of their 197 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 132 times in high leverage situations and on 116 occasions with runners on. They rank 10th in the league with a save rate of 69.4%, and they have dispatched 397 bullpen pitchers onto the field this season.

The San Diego Padres have turned 98 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in the majors). The Padres have recorded 1,028 assists, 46 errors and have accumulated 3,096 putouts for the year. In their 9,288 innings on the diamond, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (14th in pro baseball).

Mize (23-26 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.33 earned run average and has allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.95 and he has gone up against 1,891 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 213 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.307 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. So far in his MLB career, Mize has allowed 455 base hits while he has accumulated 366 K's in 443 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (+162)

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