Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 8/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-132) San Diego (+110)

The Milwaukee Brewers (73-44) are on their way to Petco Park on Tuesday where they will go up against the San Diego Padres (61-57). The line on this contest has the Brewers at -132 while the Padres are coming in at +110. The total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Kyle Harrison and Walker Buehler.

As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are compiling 5.0 runs per outing, which has them at 5th in baseball. They have accumulated 581 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .336. The Brewers have tallied 209 doubles as a team and have knocked 107 baseballs out of the park. They have 550 RBI's as well as 998 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate sits at .253. Milwaukee has a slugging % of .397 and have struck out 967 times, while drawing a walk on 482 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.11 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.16. Brewers pitchers have allowed 116 home runs and 441 runs (2nd in baseball). Milwaukee has given up 847 base knocks (7.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 404 earned runs. The Brewers have compiled a team ERA of 3.48 so far this year (2nd in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,141 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 367 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.54 as a team over the course of the season.

The Brewers have sent 358 relievers to the mound this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 127 runners on the year with 42.5% of them crossing the plate. The relievers have notched 59 holds for the season (20th in the league). Brewers pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 89 times in addition to having 114 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 38 saves this season and have blown 15 out of their 53 chances to get a save. The Brewers relievers have recorded a save percentage of 71.7% and have entered the game in 113 save situations.

The Milwaukee Brewers have earned a total of 3,137 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 910 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .988 which ranks 6th in the majors, and they have turned 86 double plays. The Brewers have transformed 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 9,411 innings, which ranks them 6th in baseball.

Harrison (18-11 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.86 while he has faced 1,192 batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 260 base hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 88 free passes. His earned run average is 3.92 (123 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.232. Harrison has thrown 282 frames and has racked up 302 punch outs in his career.

The Padres hold a slugging percentage of .382 and they score 4.21 runs per game (21st in MLB). They have notched 175 two-baggers, while getting a free base 403 times and putting up 497 runs. San Diego has knocked in 124 home runs on the campaign to go along with 479 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 961 occasions (19th in baseball) and have earned a total of 915 base hits. The San Diego Padres have tallied an OBP of .313 and a batting average of .236 so far this season.

The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.329 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.22 as a pitching staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.30 (956 strikeouts vs 410 walks). They rank 21st in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 973. They have allowed 132 home runs and they relinquish 4.43 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have relinquished 512 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.18 (483 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 124 save situations, the Padres have 71 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. San Diego has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 50 save opportunities and they have come away with 35 saves. San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.2% out of their 199 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 134 times in high leverage situations and on 117 occasions with runners on base. They sit at 9th in the league with a save rate of 70.0%, and they have dispatched 400 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year.

In 9,369 innings on the field, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (14th in the majors). The San Diego Padres have gotten 99 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in professional baseball). The Padres have racked up 1,039 assists, 47 errors and have 3,123 putouts over the course of the season.

Buehler (63-34 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.70 ERA and has conceded 7.9 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.18 and he has gone up against 3,940 hitters during his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 389 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.190 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. So far in his pro baseball career, Buehler has given up 831 hits while he has earned 941 strikeouts in 947 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-132)

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