Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 10/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Monday, October 26, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+100) Tampa Bay (-120)

Tropicana Field is where the Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) will compete against the Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) on Monday in Game 3 of the World Series. Milwaukee leads 2-0. The moneyline on this matchup has the Brewers at +100 while the Rays are priced at -120. The betting total is set at 7. The pitchers taking the mound will be Robert Gasser and Freddy Peralta.

As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are compiling 5.1 runs per game, which has them at 2nd in the league. They have accounted for 832 runs while holding a team OBP of .341. The Brewers have hit 279 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 154 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 788 runs batted in in addition to 1,422 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is .258. Milwaukee has a slugging % of .403 and have been rung up 1,383 times, while drawing a walk on 668 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.18. Brewers pitchers have allowed 171 long balls in addition to 618 runs in total (4th in baseball). Milwaukee has given up 1,186 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) as well as 565 earned runs. The Brewers have an earned run average of 3.51 so far this year (2nd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,544 hitters. They have walked 518 batters and their FIP is 3.72 as a unit on the year.

The Brewers relievers have earned a save rate of 72.4% and have entered the game in 164 save situations. They have compiled 55 saves on the season and have missed out on 21 of their 76 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 187 runners so far this season and 37.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. Brewers bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 129 times and also have had 158 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have sent 509 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen have tallied 86 holds on the season (14th in the league).

The Milwaukee Brewers have notched a total of 4,340 putouts on the year, as well as 1,269 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding rate is at .987 which is 7th in baseball, and have earned 118 double plays. The Brewers have converted 71.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of 13,020 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 6th in professional baseball.

Gasser has taken the mound for 142 innings and is sitting with 124 K's during his career. His ERA is 3.61 (57 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.181. He has given up 128 base hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 40 walks. Gasser (7-7 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.55 while facing 606 batters in the majors.

The Tampa Bay Rays have earned a team on-base percentage of .326 and a batting average of .258 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 1,145 instances (30th in the league) and have earned 1,405 base hits. Tampa Bay has tallied 169 home runs on the campaign as well as 700 runs batted in. The Rays have a SLG% of .402 and they have an average of 4.54 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have put up 230 doubles, while getting a free base 514 times and notching 736 runs.

The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.139 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.04 as a team over the course of the season. They are currently ranked 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,235. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have yielded 650 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.70 (594 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.20 (1,322 strikeouts against 409 free passes). They have relinquished 201 long balls and they concede 4.05 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB).

They rank 4th in baseball with a save percentage of 74.4%, and they have dispatched 522 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. Their relievers have taken the field 163 times in high leverage situations and on 134 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 194 save situations, the Rays have 115 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 78 save chances and they have walked away with 58 saves. Tampa Bay relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.3% of 192 inherited runners.

In their 12,987 innings played, the Rays are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 72.3% (1st in pro baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 100 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in MLB). The Rays have recorded 1,279 assists, 92 errors and have accounted for 4,329 putouts for the year.

In his MLB career, Peralta has allowed 735 base knocks while accumulating 1,196 strikeouts in 986 frames. Peralta (75-44 career mark) is the owner of a 3.57 earned run average while giving up 6.7 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 391 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.126 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.19 and he has faced 4,071 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+100)

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