Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 10/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Tuesday, October 27, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-102) Tampa Bay (-118)

The Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) will go up against the Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) at Tropicana Field on Tuesday in Game 4 of the World Series. The moneyline on this contest has Milwaukee at -102 while Tampa Bay is sitting at -118. The over/under has been set at 7. The expected starting pitchers will be Dustin May and Griffin Jax.

The Brewers have accumulated 279 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 154 balls out of the park. Milwaukee has a slugging rate of .403 and have been rung up 1,383 times, while being walked on 668 occasions. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are earning 5.1 runs/g, which is 2nd in baseball. They have earned 788 runs batted in as well as 1,422 base knocks so far this year, and their batting average is at .258. They have racked up 832 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .341.

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The Brewers are sitting with a team ERA of 3.51 for the season (2nd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,544 batters. Brewers pitchers have yielded 171 home runs and 618 runs in total (4th in MLB). They have walked 518 opposing players and their FIP is 3.72 as a team for the year. Milwaukee has relinquished 1,186 base hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and 565 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.98 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.18.

The Brewers relievers have a save percentage of 72.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 164 save situations. They have compiled 55 saves on the year and have blown 21 out of their 76 save chances. The relievers have inherited 187 base runners on the year and 37.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Brewers pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 129 times as well as having 158 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have sent 509 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have recorded 86 holds so far this season (14th in MLB).

The Brewers have turned 71.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 13,020 innings, which has them sitting 6th in MLB. The Milwaukee Brewers have a total of 4,340 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,269 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .987 which ranks 7th in MLB, and they have turned 118 double plays.

May has thrown 360 innings and has earned 335 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.05 (162 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.224. He has conceded 313 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 128 free passes. May (21-22 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.99 and he has gone up against 1,518 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Tampa Bay Rays hold a team OBP of .326 as well as a team batting average of .258 for the year. They have struck out on 1,145 instances (30th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,405 base knocks. Tampa Bay has accumulated 169 home runs for the year to go along with 700 RBIs. The Rays have a team slugging percentage of .402 and they have an average of 4.54 runs per game (12th in the league). They have notched 230 doubles, while getting a free base 514 times as well as putting up 736 runs.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have yielded 650 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.70 (594 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 201 home runs and they relinquish 4.05 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Rays have a WHIP of 1.139 in addition to having a FIP of 4.04 as a pitching staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.20 (1,322 strikeouts against 409 bases on balls). They sit at 4th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,235.

They sit at 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 74.4%, and they have dispatched 522 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 163 times in high leverage situations in addition to 134 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 194 save situations, the Rays have 115 holds and also 20 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had relief pitchers take the mound in 78 save opportunities and they have earned 58 saves. Tampa Bay relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.3% of 192 inherited runners.

Out of their 12,987 innings played, the Rays have earned a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (1st in MLB). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 100 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in professional baseball). The Rays have recorded 1,279 assists, 92 errors and have amassed 4,329 putouts on the season.

Jax (31-41 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.92 earned run average while surrendering 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.75 and he has faced 1,942 opposing batters during his career. He has allowed 204 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.160 and having a FIP of 3.9. During his pro baseball career, Jax has surrendered 404 base knocks while he has earned 521 strikeouts in 468 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-102)

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